The upcoming clash between Union Brescia and Dolomiti Bellunesi in Serie C: Girone A promises to be a crucial one for both sides, each fighting for very different objectives. The home team are looking to bounce back after a disappointing derby defeat, while the visitors are desperate to escape the relegation zone. With only two rounds left in the regular season, every point could prove decisive in shaping the final standings. The match is scheduled for Sunday at 14:30 and is expected to attract significant attention given the stakes involved.

Union Brescia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Union Brescia currently sit in second place in the Serie C: Girone A table, a position that reflects a consistent campaign built on defensive solidity and efficiency in front of goal. Their overall record of 17 wins, 12 draws, and 7 defeats underlines a team that has been difficult to beat throughout the season. However, their recent form has been less convincing, with only one win in their last five matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat). During this run, they have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, showing a clear trend toward low-scoring encounters.

At home, Union Brescia have maintained a strong defensive record, with Under 0.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 14 home fixtures. This suggests that while they often control possession and territory, they sometimes struggle to convert chances into goals. Their most recent setback came in a 1-0 loss against Lumezzane on April 11, a result that allowed rivals Lecco to draw level on points in the race for second place. With the playoffs approaching, the team will be eager to reassert their dominance and secure a morale-boosting victory.

• Ranking: 2nd in Serie C: Girone A


• Season average goals scored: 1.3 per match


• Season average goals conceded: 0.7 per match


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat


• Last head-to-head vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: 1-0 win (December 14, 2025)

Dolomiti Bellunesi’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Dolomiti Bellunesi enter this fixture in a far more precarious position. Sitting 16th in the standings, they are currently battling to avoid the play-out zone. Their recent 4-2 defeat to Pro Patria on April 13 was a major setback, especially as it came against one of the league’s bottom sides. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one win and one draw, losing three times. Despite their struggles, they have shown attacking intent, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game, but their defensive frailties remain a major concern, with 2.0 goals conceded on average.

One notable trend for Dolomiti Bellunesi is their involvement in high-scoring matches. Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 league games, and Over 0.5 goals at half time have been seen in all of those fixtures. Moreover, the second half tends to be particularly eventful, with goals scored in 18 of their last 20 matches during that period. This pattern suggests that while they may start cautiously, their games often open up as they chase results.

• Ranking: 16th in Serie C: Girone A


• Season record: 10 wins, 9 draws, 17 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.6 per match


• Over 1.5 goals in last 11 matches


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of last 20 matches

Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi Analysis and Prediction

This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting ambitions but equally pressing motivations. Union Brescia will be determined to protect their second-place position and regain momentum after a frustrating run of results. Their defensive organization and home advantage make them clear favorites, especially against a side that has struggled to keep clean sheets. On the other hand, Dolomiti Bellunesi approach the match under pressure, knowing that another defeat could drag them deeper into relegation trouble. Their attacking numbers show promise, but their defensive lapses have repeatedly cost them points.

Historically, Union Brescia have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning the only recent head-to-head 1-0. Given their solid defensive record and the visitors’ tendency to concede, a home win appears the most plausible outcome. However, considering Dolomiti Bellunesi’s recent goal-scoring consistency, the match could still produce a few goals, particularly in the second half. The balance of probabilities points toward a controlled but decisive performance from the home side.

From a statistical perspective, the win probabilities stand at 61% for Union Brescia, 23% for a draw, and 16% for Dolomiti Bellunesi. The Both Teams To Score market is finely balanced (Yes 49%, No 51%), while the Over/Under 2.5 goals line also shows near parity (Over 49%, Under 51%). These figures suggest a tight contest, with the home side likely to edge it through superior organization and motivation.

Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 61% probability.