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Unión La Calera
3 - 3
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O'Higgins
Prediction published on Mar 14, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in Chile - Primera Division | Modified on Mar 14, 2026 10:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Unión La Calera and O’Higgins promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the seventh round in the Chilean Primera División. Scheduled for Monday at 18:00 (local time), the match will take place at the Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán. Both teams arrive with identical records in the league — three wins and three defeats — but with contrasting recent emotions: La Calera are looking to recover from a dip in form, while O’Higgins must bounce back after a painful international elimination.
Unión La Calera have shown flashes of quality in the early stages of the season, collecting three victories from their first six matches. Their wins came against Audax Italiano, Cobresal, and Everton de Viña del Mar, results that helped them climb to sixth place in the standings. However, inconsistency has been their main issue, as they have also suffered three defeats — against La Serena, Ñublense, and Colo Colo — with two of those losses coming in their last three outings.
According to the latest data, La Calera’s last five matches produced two wins and three defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their season numbers mirror that trend: three wins, no draws, and three losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Interestingly, they have not drawn any of their last 16 Primera División fixtures, a sign of their all-or-nothing approach.
Despite recent setbacks, La Calera remain a competitive side at home. Their attacking play often finds rhythm in front of their supporters, and this fixture offers a valuable opportunity to regain momentum. A victory could push them closer to the top positions, as they currently sit just one game away from the league leaders.
O’Higgins arrive in La Calera after a tough week. Their elimination from the Copa Libertadores at the hands of Deportes Tolima — losing 2-0 in the second leg after winning 1-0 at home — was a major disappointment. Nevertheless, they will continue their continental journey in the Copa Sudamericana, which could serve as motivation to bounce back domestically.
In the Primera División, O’Higgins have mirrored La Calera’s record with three wins and three defeats. Their last five matches show two victories and three losses, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively, they have struggled away from home, losing both of their league trips so far this season. Moreover, they have not drawn in their last 19 matches in all competitions, a streak that highlights their tendency toward decisive outcomes.
O’Higgins’ matches tend to be open and eventful. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 11 away games, and at least one goal has been recorded in the second half of their last 16 away fixtures. This pattern suggests that their encounters rarely stay quiet for long, especially after the break.
When looking at recent meetings between these two sides, Unión La Calera hold a slight edge. In their last five head-to-head clashes, La Calera have one win, two draws, and two defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of La Calera on August 3, 2025, a result that could boost their confidence ahead of this new chapter.
Both teams share similar strengths and weaknesses. La Calera’s attack has been efficient but inconsistent, while O’Higgins’ defense has shown vulnerability, particularly on the road. Given that both sides have yet to record a draw this season, the match is likely to produce a clear winner. The home advantage could play a decisive role, especially considering O’Higgins’ recent struggles away from Rancagua.
From a tactical perspective, La Calera will aim to control possession and exploit spaces behind O’Higgins’ backline, while the visitors may rely on quick transitions and set pieces to create danger. The second half could be particularly lively, as both teams tend to open up as the game progresses.
Statistically, this fixture appears balanced, but the momentum and home factor slightly favor Unión La Calera. The algorithmic probabilities indicate a 42% chance of a home win, 27% for a draw, and 31% for an away victory. Considering O’Higgins’ defensive fragility and La Calera’s need to respond after recent defeats, the hosts seem better positioned to claim the three points.
Unión La Calera vs O’Higgins prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Unión La Calera
O'Higgins
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2