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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Pro League 07-03-2026

Union Saint-Gilloise

2 - 1

FT

Genk

Stade Joseph Mariën
Lawrence Visser
overcast clouds 8.76 °C

Prediction published on Mar 5, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Mar 5, 2026 10:02 PM

The final match of Sunday, March 7, in the Belgian Pro League features a top-six clash between Union Saint-Gilloise and Genk. This encounter, part of the 28th round, promises to be one of the highlights of the weekend, with the reigning champions entering as clear favorites. A gap of 21 points separates the two sides before kick-off, underlining the consistency of the league leaders compared to their visitors. For the hosts, returning home after a goalless draw against Westerlo, this fixture offers a chance to reaffirm their dominance and maintain their unbeaten momentum. Meanwhile, Genk arrive in Brussels with renewed confidence after a convincing win last week and will be eager to test themselves against the best team in the country.


Union Saint-Gilloise’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Union Saint-Gilloise continue to set the pace in the Pro League, sitting comfortably at the top of the table with 16 wins, 9 draws, and only 2 defeats. Their defensive solidity has been remarkable, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per match while scoring 1.6. The team’s recent form remains impressive, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 outings, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their latest result, a 0-0 draw against Westerlo on March 1, extended their unbeaten streak and highlighted their ability to control games even when goals are scarce.


At home, Union have been particularly dominant. They have scored in each of their last 13 home matches and have avoided defeat in 25 of their last 27 league fixtures. Their consistency at both ends of the pitch has made them one of the toughest sides to beat in Belgium. Interestingly, under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 league matches, suggesting a balance between attacking efficiency and defensive discipline. In addition, they have led at half-time in 8 of their last 13 home games, often setting the tone early for their victories.



  • Unbeaten in 25 of their last 27 Pro League matches.

  • At least one goal scored in each of their last 13 home games.

  • Under 3.5 total goals in the last 14 league matches.

  • Average goals per match: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded.


Genk’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Genk approach this match in sixth place, looking to build on their recent resurgence. After a difficult February that included a heavy loss to Standard Liège, the team bounced back strongly with a 3-0 victory over Gent on March 1. That result not only restored confidence but also showcased their attacking potential. Over their last five matches, Genk have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, reflecting a campaign marked by inconsistency but also flashes of quality.


One of Genk’s most notable trends this season has been their involvement in high-scoring matches. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 14 games, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in all of them. This pattern suggests that their matches tend to open up as time progresses, often producing entertaining finishes. Against the league leaders, however, maintaining defensive concentration will be crucial if they are to avoid being punished by Union’s clinical attack.



  • Over 1.5 goals in each of their last 14 matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in all of their last 14 games.

  • Season average: 1.4 goals scored, 1.5 conceded per match.

  • Recent 3-0 win against Gent on March 1.


Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: Analysis and Prediction


Historically, Union Saint-Gilloise have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings and losing only once. Their average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in those encounters further underlines their superiority. The last meeting between the two sides ended 2-1 in favor of Genk back in September 2025, a result that Union will be eager to avenge. With both teams in decent scoring form, this contest could offer a mix of tactical discipline and attacking flair.


Union’s home advantage and defensive reliability make them the favorites, but Genk’s recent attacking rhythm cannot be ignored. Given that both teams have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, the likelihood of an open and competitive game is high. The statistics also point toward a balanced but dynamic encounter, where the first goal could prove decisive.


BetMines prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: Both Teams To Score – Yes with 60% probability.

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk - Predictions

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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Union Saint-Gilloise

Genk

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

100%

10

0%

0

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Union Saint-Gilloise and Genk in Pro League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Union Saint-Gilloise

30

19

9

2

50:17

66

2.2

W
D
W
W
W
7

Genk

30

11

9

10

46:47

42

1.4

L
W
L
W
D
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play-offs
Relegation Round

Championship Round - Ranking

Team

2

Union Saint-Gilloise

10

6

2

2

16:10

53

5.3

L
W
L
D
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Play-offs

Conference League Play-off Group - Ranking

Team

1

Genk

10

4

5

1

11:6

38

3.8

L
W
D
D
W
UEFA Conference League Play-offs

Relegation Round - Ranking

Team

Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk be played?
The Pro League match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Genk will be played on March 7, 2026 at 19:45.
Where will Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk be played?
The match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Genk will be played at Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels - Belgium
Who will referee Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?
The referee for the match will be Lawrence Visser.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk in the Pro League?
The odds are: Union Saint-Gilloise to win 1.66, draw 3.90, Genk to win 4.75.
What are the betting odds for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Pro League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.85 and Under 2.5 at 1.95.
Will both Union Saint-Gilloise and Genk score in the Pro League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk in the Pro League?
The most likely correct score is 1-0, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Union Saint-Gilloise and Genk?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Union Saint-Gilloise and Genk, Union Saint-Gilloise won 4 times, Genk won 1, and 0 ended in a draw.

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