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Unión Santa Fe
1 - 0
FT
Aldosivi
Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 1:03 AM
The upcoming clash between Unión de Santa Fe and Aldosivi de Mar del Plata promises to be a crucial fixture in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Both teams arrive with contrasting sensations after their recent performances, yet share the same need to secure points to climb the table. The match will take place on Sunday evening, with Unión looking to extend their solid home form and Aldosivi desperate to end their winless run in the league. The encounter is expected to be tight, with both sides showing defensive discipline but struggling to convert chances consistently.
Unión de Santa Fe currently sit 11th in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol standings, having collected one win, two draws, and two defeats so far this season. Their most recent league outing ended in a goalless draw against San Lorenzo on February 14, a result that highlighted both their defensive solidity and their ongoing issues in front of goal. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Unión have recorded one victory, two draws, and two losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game.
Playing at home has been their main source of stability. All of Unión’s points this season have come at their own ground, where they have shown resilience and organization. However, their matches at the Estadio 15 de Abril have often been low-scoring affairs. In fact, Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in five of their last eleven home fixtures, and four of their last ten league games overall. This pattern suggests that Unión tend to prioritize defensive balance over attacking risk, especially when playing in front of their supporters.
Despite their modest attacking numbers, Unión’s ability to keep clean sheets has been a key factor in maintaining mid-table stability. Their disciplined backline and compact midfield structure make them a difficult side to break down, particularly on home soil.
Aldosivi arrive in Santa Fe after finally tasting victory in midweek, defeating San Miguel 3-0 in the Copa Argentina. That result provided a much-needed morale boost for the “Tiburón,” who have struggled to find consistency in the league. In the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Aldosivi remain winless after five rounds, with three draws and two defeats. They currently occupy 14th place in the standings, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
One of Aldosivi’s biggest concerns has been their poor away form. The team has lost eight of their last ten away fixtures, often failing to score or even secure a draw. Their first halves have been particularly problematic — they have lost at half time in six of their last ten away matches in the league. Moreover, their games tend to be tight and low-scoring: Under 1.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 22 of their last 24 league appearances, underlining their cautious approach and lack of early attacking impact.
Although their recent cup win may signal improvement, Aldosivi’s league form remains a concern. Their inability to convert chances and their vulnerability on the road have left them hovering near the relegation zone. The team must find a way to translate their cup momentum into league success if they are to avoid another season fighting for survival.
Historically, meetings between these two sides have been balanced. In their last five head-to-head encounters, both Unión and Aldosivi have won twice, with one draw, and an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per team. The most recent clash ended 0-2 in favor of Aldosivi on October 4, 2025. However, current form suggests a different scenario this time around. Unión’s home advantage and defensive consistency make them slight favorites, while Aldosivi’s away struggles continue to weigh heavily against them.
Given the statistical trends, this match is likely to be another low-scoring affair. Both teams have shown a tendency toward tight, tactical contests with few clear chances. The Under 2.5 goals market appears particularly relevant, as 65% of simulations point toward a match with fewer than three goals. Additionally, the Both Teams To Score – No outcome (62%) aligns with the defensive nature of both sides.
Unión’s ability to control the tempo at home, combined with Aldosivi’s difficulties in creating scoring opportunities away from Mar del Plata, could prove decisive. If Unión manage to strike first, their disciplined defense may be enough to secure all three points.
Unión de Santa Fe vs Aldosivi prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Unión Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
6
4
9
1
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0