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Unión Santa Fe
10:00 PM
October 26, 2026
Estudiantes
Prediction published on Oct 24, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Oct 24, 2026 10:03 PM
Unión Santa Fe host Estudiantes at Estadio 15 de Abril on October 26, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 22:00 local time. The Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture brings together teams ranked 11th and 10th respectively, but they arrive with different immediate concerns. Unión have taken just one point from their last five matches, leaving their hopes of reaching the next Clausura round under pressure. Estudiantes, meanwhile, come into the game after advancing to the Copa Libertadores final. Their contrasting momentum makes this an intriguing contest, even if recent meetings at this ground point towards a tight scoreline.
Unión Santa Fe have not won since September 12. Their last five matches have produced one draw and four defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. That sequence has left them on 14 points in the Clausura, five short of the target for reaching the next round. A run that once included three consecutive victories has given way to a difficult stretch at a crucial point in their campaign.
Their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Deportivo Riestra on October 20, following a 2-0 defeat to Defensa y Justicia. Both games finished with fewer than three goals, although Unión's wider scoring record is less straightforward. At least two total goals have been scored in 26 of their last 27 matches, including each of their last 12 home fixtures. Their season record in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol stands at 10 wins, eight draws and 13 defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
Keeping Estudiantes out could be a particular challenge: Unión have conceded at least once in each of their last 20 matches. Their home statistics also offer a separate trend to watch, with fewer than 10 corners taken in 18 of their last 20 home games. For Unión, the priority is to end their winless run without allowing another difficult spell at the back to decide the match.
Estudiantes travel to Santa Fe after a significant Copa Libertadores result. They drew 0-0 with Flamengo on October 23, matching the score of the first leg, before progressing on penalties. Muslera saved three spot-kicks in the shootout. Reaching the final for the first time since 2009 gives Estudiantes a major objective for the rest of the season, though they still have this league fixture to negotiate.
Across their last five matches, Estudiantes have recorded one win, three draws and one defeat. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded during that run. Their Liga Profesional de Fútbol season figures show 13 wins, six draws and 11 losses, with the same averages of 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Those numbers suggest a side that has generally allowed fewer goals than Unión, but the recent sequence of draws also shows that Estudiantes have not been turning every close game into a victory.
There are reasons to be cautious about their away prospects. Estudiantes have trailed at half-time in seven of their last 10 away league matches. They also come into this fixture immediately after two goalless games against Flamengo, making the shift back to domestic competition an important part of the match context. The question is whether they can carry their defensive resilience into another away game while finding enough in attack to claim all three points.
The teams' recent results pull the analysis in different directions. Unión's matches regularly feature at least two total goals, and their run of conceding in 20 straight games gives Estudiantes an opening. Yet Unión's last two results both stayed below three goals, while Estudiantes have just played consecutive 0-0 draws against Flamengo. Neither side's latest form provides a clear case for a comfortable victory.
The record at Estadio 15 de Abril strengthens the case for a close contest: each of the last six meetings between these teams at this ground finished with fewer than three goals. Their most recent head-to-head match, on April 11, 2026, ended 2-1, so a low-scoring pattern is not a guarantee. Across the five head-to-head results supplied, Unión have one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Unión need a result to revive their Clausura prospects, while Estudiantes arrive with confidence from their continental progress but only one win in their last five matches. The home side's defensive record leaves room for an away goal; the visitors' recent goalless draws and the history of this fixture at Estadio 15 de Abril point towards a game in which chances may not translate into a high total. That balance makes the goal count the clearest angle for this match preview.
Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Unión Santa Fe
Estudiantes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0