Tools
Unión Santa Fe
2 - 3
FT
Newell's Old Boys
Prediction published on Apr 16, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Apr 16, 2026 12:03 AM
The upcoming clash between Unión de Santa Fe and Newell’s Old Boys promises to be a tense and strategic battle in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. With only three rounds left before the playoffs, both sides arrive with different objectives but a shared need for points. Unión, currently sixth in the standings, seeks to consolidate its position among the top teams, while Newell’s, sitting in fourteenth place, aims to continue climbing away from the relegation zone. The match will be crucial for both, especially considering Unión’s strong home form and Newell’s recent improvement in results.
Unión de Santa Fe suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat against Estudiantes on April 11, despite taking the lead early in the match. That setback extended a mixed run of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Over the course of the season, Unión have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Their consistency at home, however, remains one of their biggest strengths — the team has not lost a single home fixture this season and has conceded just one goal in front of their fans.
Another notable trend is Unión’s ability to start games strongly. They have won at half time in their last three home matches and in seven of their last eleven league fixtures. This early dominance often allows them to control the rhythm of the game and protect their advantage. Defensively, the team has shown discipline, with several low-scoring encounters at home — Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 4 of their last 13 home league matches. These numbers reinforce the perception of Unión as a compact and efficient side, particularly when playing in Santa Fe.
Newell’s Old Boys arrive in Santa Fe after a goalless draw against San Lorenzo on April 12, a result that extended their recent positive streak. The team has collected two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, showing signs of recovery after a difficult start to the season. Their overall record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Despite these modest numbers, Newell’s have managed to keep a clean sheet in two of their last three fixtures, a sign of improved defensive organization.
On the road, however, the “Lepra” have struggled to maintain consistency. They have lost at half time in six of their last ten away matches in the league, often finding it difficult to recover from early setbacks. Nevertheless, their recent performances suggest a more balanced approach, with Over 1.5 goals being scored in each of their last ten away games — a statistic that points to open and competitive encounters. For Newell’s, the main objective remains to accumulate points to strengthen their position in the overall table and move further away from the relegation zone.
The recent history between Unión de Santa Fe and Newell’s Old Boys has been relatively balanced. In their last five meetings, Unión have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favor of Newell’s on November 1, 2025. These results suggest that matches between these two sides tend to be tight and low-scoring, often decided by small details or defensive lapses.
From a tactical perspective, Unión’s solid defensive structure and strong home record make them slight favorites. Their ability to take early leads could once again prove decisive, especially against a Newell’s side that tends to concede in the first half. However, the visitors’ recent improvement in defensive stability and their motivation to secure points for survival could make this a cautious and evenly matched contest. Given both teams’ recent trends, a low-scoring game seems likely, with few clear chances and a focus on maintaining defensive order.
Considering Unión’s defensive solidity at home and Newell’s cautious approach away from Rosario, this fixture is expected to be tight and tactical. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring matches, and neither has been particularly prolific in front of goal in recent weeks. The statistics strongly support a scenario with limited scoring opportunities, especially given that Unión have conceded just once at home all season.
BetMines prediction: Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%. This outcome aligns with both teams’ recent form and the historical pattern of their head-to-head meetings, making it the most likely scenario for this encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Unión Santa Fe
Newell's Old Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2