United States and Peru begin the next international cycle with a Friendly International meeting on September 26, 2026. The match is scheduled for 20:30 local time at Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium in Washington. The two teams arrive with contrasting recent records: the hosts have won three of their last five matches, while Peru have managed one victory during the same span. Both sides are also seeking a response after defeats in their latest outings, with the United States losing 4-1 to Belgium and Peru falling 3-1 against Spain. This is the first of four scheduled friendlies for each team in the cycle. The United States are also due to face Chile, Mexico and Canada, while Peru have matches against Mexico, Canada and Colombia on their program.

United States Recent Form and Key Statistics

United States enter this friendly after recording three wins and two defeats across their previous five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 2.2 goals scored per game, showing that they have recently been capable of creating a significant attacking output. However, their average of 1.6 goals conceded also points to defensive vulnerability, which was particularly evident in the 4-1 defeat against Belgium on July 7, 2026.

Their broader Friendly International record is less convincing. The United States have collected one win and suffered three defeats in four such fixtures, scoring an average of 1.5 goals while conceding 2.8 per match. They lost three of their last four friendlies, with only one victory in that run, although those defeats came against higher-ranked opposition according to the supplied match context.

Mauricio Pochettino has selected an experimental group containing 13 uncapped players. That decision gives the fixture added importance as the hosts assess new options, but it may also make their performance less predictable. Even so, the available numbers give the United States a clear pre-match advantage: their estimated win probability stands at 61%, compared with 23% for a draw and 16% for a Peru victory.

• Last five matches: three wins and two defeats.
• Average across those five games: 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
• Friendly International record: one win and three defeats.
• Latest result: a 4-1 defeat against Belgium.

Peru Recent Form and Key Statistics

Peru travel to Washington hoping to establish a more positive direction after a difficult previous cycle. They failed to qualify for the World Cup after finishing ninth among the ten CONMEBOL nations, winning two of their 18 matches while drawing six and losing ten. Their subsequent friendly results have also been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws and four defeats across eight games.

The visitors have won once, drawn once and lost three times in their latest five matches. Their scoring average over that period is 1.2 goals per game, while they have conceded an average of 2.0. Their most recent appearance ended in a 3-1 loss to Spain on June 9, 2026, extending the defensive concerns highlighted by those averages.

Peru's Friendly International season statistics follow a similar pattern. They have one win, one draw and two defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per fixture. Those figures suggest that Peru have found goals in this setting but have struggled to keep opponents under control. They are nevertheless preparing for a full four-match program, with further friendlies against Mexico, Canada and Colombia to follow this encounter.

• Last five matches: one win, one draw and three defeats.
• Average across those five games: 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
• Friendly International record: one win, one draw and two defeats.
• Latest result: a 3-1 defeat against Spain.

United States vs Peru Match Analysis

The recent attacking return of the United States is one of the most important features of this match preview. An average of 2.2 goals across their last five outings gives the hosts an edge over a Peru side averaging 1.2 in the same period. The hosts have also won three of those five games, whereas the visitors have lost three and won only once.

Defensive numbers leave room for uncertainty. The United States have conceded 2.8 goals per game across their four Friendly International fixtures, while Peru's corresponding average is 2.0. Both teams also conceded heavily in their latest matches. However, the structured probabilities lean slightly away from both teams scoring, with BTTS No rated at 53% and BTTS Yes at 47%. The goals market is similarly close, as Under 2.5 goals carries a 51% probability compared with 49% for Over 2.5.

The head-to-head record gives the hosts another positive indicator. The latest meeting finished 1-1 on October 17, 2018, while the overall supplied summary records one United States win and one draw, with no Peru victory. Across those meetings, the United States averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded.

Although the experimental nature of the home squad introduces an element of unpredictability, the balance of the available evidence still favors the United States. Their stronger last-five record, higher scoring average, unbeaten head-to-head summary and 61% win probability all point in the same direction. Peru's 16% win estimate further supports the prospect of the hosts avoiding defeat, even if the recent defensive records mean the game may not be completely straightforward.

United States vs Peru prediction from BetMines: United States or Draw (1X) with 84% probability.