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Universidad Católica
11:30 PM
October 28, 2026
Audax Italiano
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 11:36 PM by Dario in Chile - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 11:36 PM
Universidad Católica host Audax Italiano in Chile’s Primera Division on October 28, 2026, at Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo in Santiago de Chile. The home side enter the match in third place after a 3-1 defeat to Unión La Calera cost them second spot. Audax are 12th, but a return of seven points from their last three matches has improved their position ahead of the final five rounds. Both teams have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five games, making their contrasting scoring records and Universidad Católica’s home form particularly relevant to this preview.
Universidad Católica have won 13, drawn three and lost eight Primera Division matches this season. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, although their attacking output has been lower over the most recent five games, at 1.2 goals per match. They have also conceded an average of 1.2 during that five-match stretch.
The defeat to Unión La Calera on October 25 was a setback in the race for second place, which is now held by Universidad de Chile. It followed a different kind of frustration in Católica’s previous home outing: a 0-0 draw in which they could not find a goal. That result was not an isolated instance of one-sided scoring in their home games, with both teams failing to score in three of their last five matches at home.
There is another side to the home record. Universidad Católica’s last 10 home Primera Division matches have all featured over 1.5 goals in total. A second-half goal has also been scored in 20 of their last 22 matches, a figure covering both home and away fixtures. Those numbers suggest that the recent goalless home draw does not, by itself, define what to expect from this meeting.
Facing Audax has nevertheless presented Católica with a specific scoring difficulty at home. They failed to score in three of the last four occasions on which they hosted this opponent. Improving on that record would help them respond to the loss against Unión La Calera and strengthen their attempt to regain second place.
Audax Italiano drew 1-1 with Huachipato on October 23. Like their hosts, they have taken two wins and two draws from their last five matches, with one defeat. Their recent games have been tighter on the scoresheet, however: Audax have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across that run.
For the season as a whole, Audax have seven wins, eight draws and nine defeats in the Primera Division. Their averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match provide a broader contrast with their last five results, during which they have allowed fewer goals. The seven points collected from their last nine available have helped them move out of the relegation zone. With five rounds remaining, they hold a six-point gap over that zone.
Scoring remains an issue to watch despite that improvement in results. Audax have failed to find the net in two of their last three matches, while keeping a clean sheet in three of their last five. Two of their last 10 matches ended without a goal from either team. Away from home, they have been ahead at half-time in six of their last 10 games, so their recent low scoring does not necessarily mean they will make a slow start.
This fixture brings together a third-placed home team trying to recover from defeat and a 12th-placed visitor whose recent points return has eased its position. Universidad Católica have the stronger season record and the higher scoring average, but the teams arrive with identical results across their last five matches. Audax’s average of just 0.4 goals conceded in that period also gives Católica a clear challenge to overcome.
The scoring trends point in different directions. Católica have seen over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 10 home league matches, yet their latest home game finished 0-0, and they have drawn a blank in three of their last four home meetings with Audax. The visitors, meanwhile, have recently combined clean sheets with games in which they did not score. Neither side’s latest attacking figures guarantee a repeat of their most recent head-to-head scoreline, a 3-4 result on April 11, 2026.
Across the five head-to-head matches in the supplied summary, Universidad Católica have two wins, two draws and one defeat against Audax Italiano, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. That record, alongside Católica’s stronger season return, supports the home side’s prospects. Audax’s improved results and defensive figures still make a closely contested match plausible, especially if Católica struggle to convert their chances as they have in several previous home meetings.
Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano prediction from BetMines: Universidad Católica or Draw (1X) with 82% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Universidad Católica
Audax Italiano
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
6
4
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1