Universidad Guadalajara host CA La Paz on September 13, 2026, in an important Liga de Expansión MX Apertura fixture. The match is scheduled to begin at 18:00 local time at Estadio Jalisco in Guadalajara. With Universidad Guadalajara leading the competition and CA La Paz sitting third, this contest brings together two of the tournament’s strongest-performing teams. The hosts have responded impressively after a disappointing previous campaign, while the visitors arrive in excellent form and with the confidence gained from a convincing victory in their latest outing. Both sides have produced strong attacking numbers, making this a particularly attractive game between two teams separated by only two places in the standings.

Universidad Guadalajara Recent Form and Key Statistics

Universidad Guadalajara, also referred to as Leones Negros, enter the fixture at the top of the Liga de Expansión MX rankings. Their league record stands at five wins, one draw and one defeat, underlining the consistency that has taken them into first place. They are averaging 2.4 goals scored per match while conceding an average of 1.1, numbers that reflect both their attacking strength and their ability to collect positive results.

The leaders reinforced their position with a 3-1 victory over Tapatío on September 6. Across their last five matches, Universidad Guadalajara have registered three wins, one draw and one loss. During that period, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. That recent record gives the home side a solid foundation, although the goals conceded suggest that CA La Paz may still have opportunities to threaten them.

Universidad Guadalajara’s scoring consistency is one of the clearest themes surrounding this match. They have found the net at least once in each of their last 13 Liga de Expansión MX matches, while every one of their previous 15 league fixtures has produced more than 1.5 total goals. Their games have also tended to become active early, with at least one first-half goal recorded in their last 13 league appearances.

• Season record: five wins, one draw and one defeat.
• Last five matches: three wins, one draw and one loss.
• Scoring average: 2.4 goals per league match.
• First-half record: ahead at half-time in eight of their last 11 league games.

The hosts have repeatedly shown an ability to score first, according to the available match context, and their half-time numbers support the idea that they can make fast starts. Only two of their last 10 home league matches have ended without a goal, another indication that goalless contests have been uncommon when Universidad Guadalajara play at home.

CA La Paz Recent Form and Key Statistics

CA La Paz travel to face the league leaders from third place and with an excellent recent sequence behind them. They are unbeaten across their last five matches, collecting four victories and one draw. Their averages over that run are especially impressive: 2.6 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game. Those figures show why the visitors represent a difficult test for the home side.

Their most recent result was a 3-0 win over Mineros de Zacatecas on September 5. That emphatic victory combined attacking efficiency with a clean sheet and provides CA La Paz with momentum before facing the competition leaders. Across the full Liga de Expansión MX campaign, the visitors have recorded four wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.

CA La Paz have also performed strongly before the interval. They have led at half-time in each of their last three away league fixtures and have avoided being behind at the break in 21 of their previous 23 Liga de Expansión MX matches. Their ability to remain competitive during the opening half could be significant against a Universidad Guadalajara team that has itself built a strong record of half-time advantages.

The visitors’ matches frequently continue to offer action after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of their last 20 Liga de Expansión MX games. Combined with their recent attacking average and Universidad Guadalajara’s long scoring sequence, this supports the expectation of opportunities developing throughout the contest rather than being limited to one period.

Universidad Guadalajara vs CA La Paz Match Analysis

This fixture matches the league’s first-placed team against the side in third, and the available numbers point toward a competitive game with considerable attacking potential. Universidad Guadalajara have home advantage, a strong season record and a sequence of 13 consecutive league matches in which they have scored. CA La Paz, however, approach the contest unbeaten in five and having allowed an average of just 0.4 goals per match during that run.

The head-to-head record also warns against assuming that the leaders will control the contest easily. Across the supplied summary, Universidad Guadalajara have two wins and three defeats against CA La Paz, with no draws. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in those meetings. The most recent encounter finished 3-0 on March 5, 2026, while the broader match context describes this pairing as one that has produced a high number of goals and a relatively balanced distribution of victories.

Both teams possess evidence of fast starts. Universidad Guadalajara have been ahead at the interval in eight of their last 11 league matches, whereas CA La Paz have led at half-time in their last three away games. At the same time, the visitors have rarely gone into the break behind. This creates an intriguing early contest between the hosts’ tendency to open the scoring and CA La Paz’s strong first-half resilience.

The statistical probabilities give Universidad Guadalajara a 48% chance of winning, compared with 28% for CA La Paz and 24% for the draw. Nevertheless, the goals markets receive stronger numerical support. Both teams to score is rated at 62%, while over 2.5 goals stands at 63%. Universidad Guadalajara’s average of 2.4 goals per league match, CA La Paz’s season average of 2.1 and the visitors’ recent average of 2.6 all strengthen the case for an open encounter. With every one of the hosts’ last 15 league matches producing at least two total goals, the attacking evidence makes a match containing three or more goals the most coherent conclusion.

Universidad Guadalajara vs CA La Paz prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 63% probability.