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Universidad Guadalajara
1:00 AM
August 7, 2026
Correcaminos UAT
Prediction published on Aug 4, 2026 11:04 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga de Expansión MX | Modified on Aug 4, 2026 11:04 PM
The third round of the Apertura 2026 in Liga de Expansión MX brings together two teams that have started the tournament positively. Universidad Guadalajara will make their first home appearance of the campaign at Estadio Jalisco against Correcaminos UAT. The hosts lead the competition after collecting six points from their opening two matches, while the visitors sit fifth with four points. Both sides have already demonstrated considerable scoring strength, so this fixture offers an early test of their unbeaten records. Universidad Guadalajara enter the contest after beating Cancún 2-0, whereas Correcaminos recorded a 3-1 victory over Tepatitlán de Morelos in their most recent match.
Universidad Guadalajara have made a perfect start to their Liga de Expansión MX season, registering two wins from two matches. Their latest success came away to Cancún on August 2, when they earned a 2-0 victory. Across the opening two rounds, the leaders have averaged three goals scored and one conceded per game, numbers that underline the efficiency of their attack while also showing a solid overall balance.
The broader recent record is slightly less consistent but remains encouraging. Universidad Guadalajara have won three and lost two of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.2 per fixture. Returning home therefore gives them an opportunity to build on their flawless beginning and improve a record that caused problems during the previous tournament. According to the match information, they managed only two home victories in that campaign, with many of their other games ending level.
Several trends surrounding the hosts point toward an eventful contest. Their last ten Liga de Expansión MX matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals. At home, only two of their previous ten league fixtures ended without a goal, while more than 8.5 corners were recorded in each of their last 13 home matches in this competition. These sequences suggest that Universidad Guadalajara’s first home game of the new campaign may feature sustained attacking activity and regular pressure around both penalty areas.
Correcaminos UAT also arrive unbeaten in the Apertura 2026. They have collected one win and one draw from their first two matches, leaving them fifth in Liga de Expansión MX. Their 3-1 home victory over Tepatitlán de Morelos on August 1 confirmed their attacking potential, but the visitors have also conceded four goals across their two league fixtures. Their season averages currently stand at three goals scored and two allowed per match.
Looking across a longer five-game sample, Correcaminos have one victory, two draws and two defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded during that sequence. The contrast between a productive attack and a defence that has regularly allowed opportunities is likely to shape their approach at Estadio Jalisco. Correcaminos have scored at least once in each of their last 13 Liga de Expansión MX matches, giving them a notable attacking sequence ahead of this trip.
The timing of the visitors’ goals is another significant feature. Every one of their last ten league matches has contained at least one second-half goal. The same outcome occurred in 19 of their previous 20 away league games, highlighting how frequently their matches open up after the interval. Their first-half away numbers are less convincing: Correcaminos have not been ahead at half-time in any of their last 20 away matches in the competition. More generally, they have failed to lead at the break in 29 of their last 31 Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and have trailed at half-time in 16 of the last 26.
This Liga de Expansión MX preview presents a meeting between two unbeaten teams with strong early attacking returns. Universidad Guadalajara possess the advantage of a perfect record and will be playing at home for the first time in the tournament. Their two opening victories, combined with the long sequence of matches producing at least two total goals, give the leaders a positive platform. However, their home performance in the previous tournament means this fixture also represents an important opportunity to establish greater consistency at Estadio Jalisco.
Correcaminos UAT have enough scoring form to threaten the hosts, particularly after finding the net in 13 consecutive league matches. Their tendency to become more productive after the interval could make the second half especially important. At the same time, the visitors’ repeated failure to lead at half-time away from home may allow Universidad Guadalajara to take the initiative during the opening stages. The hosts will aim to exploit that pattern, while Correcaminos must limit the defensive spaces that contributed to four goals conceded in their first two games.
The recent head-to-head record favours Universidad Guadalajara. Across the latest five meetings represented in the supplied summary, they have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent encounter finished 0-0 on January 25, 2026, showing that the fixture can still become tightly contested despite the wider scoring trends. Overall, the combination of Universidad Guadalajara’s perfect start, Correcaminos’ second-half patterns and the attacking output of both teams creates an intriguing third-round contest.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Universidad Guadalajara
Correcaminos UAT
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
9
1
9
1