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Universitatea Craiova
2 - 1
FT
KuPS
Prediction published on Aug 11, 2026 5:11 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Aug 11, 2026 5:11 PM
Universitatea Craiova welcome KuPS on August 13, 2026, with a place in the Europa League playoffs at stake. The tie remains finely balanced after the first leg in Finland ended 1-1. Craiova moved ahead through Stefan Baiaram in the first half and stayed in front until the closing 18 minutes, when KuPS found an equaliser. Both clubs therefore enter the return match with identical Europa League records of one draw, one goal scored and one conceded this season. Although neither side has been fully convincing in recent weeks, Craiova can draw encouragement from their home results in continental competition, while the Finnish visitors must address a difficult European away record.
Universitatea Craiova were close to taking a valuable lead out of the opening encounter. Baiaram’s first-half goal put them in control of the scoreline, but they were unable to protect that advantage through to the final whistle. The 1-1 draw nevertheless leaves the Romanian side with another opportunity to decide the contest at home.
Their overall form highlights the need for a stronger performance. Craiova have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. They also come into this fixture following a 1-0 loss against Argeş on August 9, a result that extended an inconsistent spell in which victories have been difficult to secure.
Home form offers a more positive foundation. Craiova have won three of their previous five matches on their own ground. Their recent European record as hosts is also encouraging, with two wins and one draw from the last four continental fixtures played at home. That means only one of those four matches ended in defeat, a sequence that contrasts with their less reliable overall run.
The available statistics also point to a recurring first-half pattern. At least one team failed to score before half-time in 37 of Craiova’s last 40 matches. This does not guarantee another quiet opening period, particularly after Baiaram struck in the first half of the opening leg, but it underlines how frequently their games have reached the interval without both sides finding the net. Four of their last 16 matches finished without a goal at all, further illustrating the range of low-scoring outcomes within their recent record.
KuPS demonstrated resilience in Finland by recovering from a goal down to keep the Europa League tie level. That response ensured they remained firmly in contention ahead of the return fixture, although the second leg presents a demanding test because of their wider record in continental competition.
The Finnish side followed the first-leg draw with another 1-1 result, this time against TPS on August 9. Across their last five matches, KuPS have collected two wins, two draws and one defeat. During that sequence, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They are also unbeaten in their three most recent outings, giving them a degree of stability before travelling to face Craiova.
Despite that short unbeaten sequence, KuPS have won only once in their last four matches. Their European record is a greater concern: each of their three defeats across the previous eight games came in continental competition, and they have managed just one victory in their last 10 European fixtures. Those numbers show that converting competitive displays into wins has regularly proved difficult on this stage.
The away figures make the challenge clearer. KuPS have lost four of their last seven European matches on the road and won only once during that run. They must now improve on that sequence against a Craiova team that has generally produced stronger results at home in Europe. One notable positive is their ability to begin matches effectively, with KuPS leading at half-time in eight of their last 12 games. An assertive opening could therefore be important as they attempt to prevent the hosts from establishing control.
The first leg offered little separation between the teams. Universitatea Craiova scored first and remained ahead for much of the contest, while KuPS showed enough persistence to rescue a 1-1 draw. The head-to-head record consequently stands at no wins for either team, one draw, and an average of one goal scored and one conceded by each side.
Craiova’s main advantage comes from the location of the second leg. Their two wins and one draw across the last four European home games provide a stronger platform than their overall recent form might suggest. However, the 1-0 defeat to Argeş and an average of 1.8 goals conceded across the last five matches show that the hosts cannot rely solely on home advantage. They will need to combine the attacking threat that produced 1.6 goals per game in that period with greater defensive control.
KuPS arrive with a better five-match win total and an active three-game unbeaten run, but their continental results remain the central issue. One victory from 10 European matches, together with four defeats in the last seven European away fixtures, places considerable pressure on the visitors to deliver an improved performance. Their strong half-time record suggests they are capable of making an early impact, yet Craiova’s long sequence of matches in which at least one side did not score before the interval indicates that clear first-half opportunities may be limited.
The return match is therefore shaped by contrasting strengths and weaknesses. Craiova have been inconsistent overall but more dependable at home, particularly in Europe. KuPS have shown recent resilience and came from behind in the first leg, although their away results in continental competition have repeatedly worked against them. With the aggregate score level, discipline at both ends and the ability to take advantage of decisive moments are likely to determine which club advances to the Europa League playoffs.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0