UTC Cajamarca welcome ADC Juan Pablo II in the Peruvian Primera Division on September 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 local time at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. The hosts enter this fixture under considerable pressure after a long winless sequence, while the visitors have produced the stronger recent record. However, defensive problems on both sides could make this an open contest. UTC Cajamarca have conceded regularly throughout the season, and ADC Juan Pablo II have also struggled to protect their goal, particularly away from home. With the teams ranked 17th and 11th respectively, this match gives both clubs an opportunity to improve their position and build momentum.

UTC Cajamarca Recent Form and Key Statistics

UTC Cajamarca are going through a difficult spell in the Primera Division. Their most recent result was a 3-2 defeat against Alianza Atlético on September 4. Across their last five matches, the home side have registered no victories, one draw and four defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 2.4.

The wider league record also underlines their problems. UTC Cajamarca have collected four wins, eight draws and 13 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Most significantly, they have failed to win any of their last 19 Primera Division fixtures. Ending that sequence will be the main objective, but their defensive numbers show why positive results have been so difficult to secure.

The hosts have conceded 45 goals in 25 league matches, and ARTICLE_TO_COPY records a run of seven consecutive games without a clean sheet. Their matches have also frequently produced action after the interval: at least one second-half goal was scored in 28 of their last 31 Primera Division games. Meanwhile, only two of UTC Cajamarca’s last ten home league fixtures finished with under 0.5 total goals, indicating that scoreless contests have been uncommon at this venue.

Although the current run is poor, the available win probabilities give UTC Cajamarca a 47% chance of victory, compared with 27% for the draw and 26% for an ADC Juan Pablo II win. Home advantage may therefore offer some encouragement, but improving their defensive performance will be essential if they are to convert that probability into three points.

ADC Juan Pablo II Recent Form and Key Statistics

ADC Juan Pablo II arrive after a 1-1 draw against Alianza Lima on September 6. Their last five matches have delivered two wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. That is a much more positive recent return than the one recorded by their opponents, and it gives the visitors a platform from which to approach this away fixture.

Over the full Primera Division campaign, ADC Juan Pablo II have seven wins, seven draws and 11 losses. They average 1.4 goals scored per game but concede 2.0, highlighting a clear imbalance between their attacking output and defensive reliability. The visiting side have scored 36 league goals during the year, but they have allowed 51 in 25 matches, the highest defensive total stated in ARTICLE_TO_COPY.

Their away record contains a particularly important trend: ADC Juan Pablo II have conceded at least once in each of their last 17 Primera Division away matches. They have also allowed a goal in 32 of their last 34 league games overall. These numbers suggest that keeping UTC Cajamarca off the scoresheet could be a major challenge, even though the hosts are without a win in 19 league appearances.

Goals have been a consistent feature of the visitors’ fixtures. Over 1.5 total goals were recorded in their last 14 away league matches and in 27 of their last 28 Primera Division games. ARTICLE_TO_COPY also states that they have gone four consecutive matches without a clean sheet. Their recent scoring average gives them an attacking threat, but their repeated concessions leave them vulnerable at the other end.

UTC Cajamarca vs ADC Juan Pablo II Match Analysis

This Primera Division preview brings together two teams whose defensive records create the potential for opportunities at both ends. UTC Cajamarca have conceded an average of 2.4 goals across their last five matches, while ADC Juan Pablo II have scored an average of 2.0 during the same period. At the same time, neither side has shown consistent clean-sheet form.

The head-to-head figures offer another relevant reference point. From the three meetings covered by the supplied summary, UTC Cajamarca have recorded no wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging one goal scored and two conceded. The latest meeting finished 2-1 on April 5, 2026, while two of the last three encounters produced more than 2.5 total goals.

UTC Cajamarca’s home status must be weighed against their extended winless run. They are given the greater individual win probability, but ADC Juan Pablo II approach the match with two victories and two draws from their last five outings. The visitors’ stronger recent scoring rate could cause problems, although their sequence of 17 away league matches conceding at least once gives the hosts a realistic route into the contest.

The statistical picture therefore points towards a match in which both attacks may receive chances. The BTTS data assigns 55% to Yes and 45% to No, while the goal-total probabilities stand at 52% for over 2.5 and 48% for under 2.5. With ADC Juan Pablo II’s games repeatedly passing 1.5 total goals and both defensive units carrying lengthy runs without clean sheets, goals for each side represent the most coherent conclusion.

UTC Cajamarca vs ADC Juan Pablo II prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.