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UTC Cajamarca
6:00 PM
October 23, 2026
Melgar
Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 6:03 PM
UTC Cajamarca host Melgar in Peru’s Primera Division on October 23, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. The teams arrive in contrasting form. UTC sit 18th and have already had their relegation confirmed, while fifth-placed Melgar remain in the title race. The visitors are unbeaten in five matches, and UTC have lost eight consecutive league games. Their recent results and head-to-head record give this UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar preview a clear question: can the hosts halt their slide against a side they have struggled to contain?
UTC Cajamarca were beaten 1-0 by Cienciano on October 18. It was their fifth defeat in their last five matches, a run in which they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their wider league sequence is more severe: UTC have gone 23 Primera Division matches without a win and lost their last eight in the competition.
Across 29 league fixtures, UTC have recorded four wins, eight draws and 17 defeats. They have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match; the source article puts their total goals conceded at 52. It also reports that they have allowed at least one goal in 11 consecutive matches. Those figures illustrate the defensive difficulty facing Cristian Molins’ side as they prepare for a visiting attack that has scored regularly this season.
UTC’s first-half results offer another concern. They have been behind at half-time in eight of their last 13 league matches. An early deficit would leave them needing to recover against opponents who have been difficult to beat recently. The home setting has not always produced goals, either: two of UTC’s last 10 Primera Division home matches finished without a goal from either side. Their immediate task is to turn home advantage into a more competitive result than their recent run has delivered.
Melgar travel to Cajamarca after a 4-2 win over Deportivo Garcilaso on October 17. Their last five matches have brought three wins and two draws, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That combination of an unbeaten run and productive attacking form has kept them involved in the title race described in the source article.
The visitors’ Primera Division record stands at 14 wins, eight draws and seven defeats. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per league match, while the source article credits them with 51 goals in 29 fixtures. Melgar have also scored first in four of their last five games. Against a UTC side that has often trailed at the interval, their ability to make the opening breakthrough could be significant.
Melgar’s first-half consistency extends beyond their current unbeaten stretch: they have avoided a half-time deficit in 19 of their last 20 Primera Division matches. Their record against UTC provides further encouragement. The supplied head-to-head summary lists five wins from the last five meetings, with Melgar scoring an average of 2.8 goals and conceding 0.6 across those games. The most recent meeting ended 2-0 on May 3, 2026.
The contrast in form makes Melgar the more convincing side heading into this fixture. UTC’s relegation has been confirmed, and their eight-match league losing streak leaves them looking for a response. Melgar, by comparison, have taken results from each of their last five outings and arrive after scoring four times against Deportivo Garcilaso. The visitors also have the stronger season-long scoring record and have repeatedly made a positive start to matches.
That does not make the result automatic. UTC are at home, and Melgar’s last five matches have included two draws as well as three victories. Still, the evidence across recent results, first-half performances and direct meetings points in the same direction. UTC must improve on a run of concessions and defeats to change the pattern, while Melgar have a chance to extend their unbeaten sequence and continue their pursuit of the title.
UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar prediction from BetMines: Melgar win (2) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
UTC Cajamarca
Melgar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
8
2