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Prediction published on May 22, 2026 7:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 22, 2026 7:01 AM
The final matchday of LaLiga EA Sports 2025/26 brings an exciting clash between Valencia CF and the reigning champions FC Barcelona at Mestalla. While the visitors have already secured the title, the home side still hold a faint hope of reaching European qualification spots. This encounter promises to be open and entertaining, with both teams eager to close their campaigns on a positive note.
Valencia approach this fixture after a thrilling 3-4 away win against Real Sociedad on May 17, a result that showcased their attacking potential. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three victories, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season in LaLiga has been inconsistent, with a record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.5.
Despite their mid-table position, the team has shown resilience in recent weeks, especially in attack. However, their defensive fragility remains a concern, particularly against high-scoring opponents. The home crowd at Mestalla could play a crucial role in motivating the players to deliver a strong performance in this season finale.
Injuries and suspensions could affect their lineup, with several key players unavailable. Nevertheless, the squad will aim to capitalize on any complacency from their opponents and end the campaign with a statement result in front of their supporters.
FC Barcelona come into this match as the undisputed champions of LaLiga EA Sports 2025/26. Their 3-1 victory over Real Betis on May 17 extended an impressive run of form, with four wins and one defeat in their last five outings. The Catalans have been dominant throughout the season, boasting a record of 31 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
Barcelona’s consistency has been remarkable — they have not drawn in their last 25 league matches and have scored in 24 of their last 25. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity have been the foundation of their success. Even with some absences due to injuries, the depth of their squad allows them to maintain a high level of performance.
Although the title is already secured, the champions will be motivated to finish the season in style. Their recent dominance over Valencia — five consecutive wins, including a 6-0 victory in the reverse fixture — underlines their superiority. Even away from home, Barcelona’s attacking power and tactical discipline make them clear favorites.
This match is expected to feature open play and attacking football from both sides. Valencia will rely on their offensive momentum and home advantage, while Barcelona will look to control possession and exploit defensive gaps. The hosts may find opportunities on the counterattack, but containing the visitors’ relentless attack will be a major challenge.
Historically, this fixture has been one-sided, with Barcelona dominating recent meetings. The difference in quality and consistency between the two squads remains significant, and even though the champions have little at stake, their professionalism and winning mentality should prevail once again.
Statistically, the match leans toward a high-scoring outcome. The probability of Over 2.5 goals stands at 60%, while Both Teams To Score – Yes is estimated at 56%. Given the offensive trends of both teams, goals are expected at Mestalla.
Valencia vs FC Barcelona prediction by BetMines:
FC Barcelona win (2) with a 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Valencia
FC Barcelona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1