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Prediction published on Mar 28, 2025 9:12 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Mar 28, 2025 11:02 AM
Valencia, hosting Mallorca on matchday 29 of La Liga, is looking for crucial points to finally pull away from the relegation zone and avoid what would be the second relegation in its glorious history. More than three months later, it is safe to say that the club's decision to entrust the bench to former West Bromwich coach Carlos Corberan has proven to be a successful move. Since the arrival of the Spanish manager, Valencia has shifted gears, losing only four of the 14 matches played across all competitions. Survival remains the club's only goal for the season, which does not erase the disappointment of a campaign that has not gone according to plan, considering that Los Che finished ninth in La Liga last year. A completely different situation for Mallorca, which, under the tactical innovations of Jagoba Arrasate, is exceeding expectations and is now in contention for a top-six finish. The key to Los Bermellones’ success has been their ability to play efficiently, not scoring many goals but optimizing their offensive efforts to the fullest. This is largely thanks to the resurgence of their striker Vedat Muriqi, who recently netted a crucial hat-trick for Kosovo in their Nations League victory over Iceland. Since both teams desperately need three points, we can expect a hard-fought match similar to the first leg, which ended with a 2-1 victory for Mallorca.
Valencia has been inconsistent in recent matches, recording one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five games. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw against Girona, with Diego Lopez (born in 2002) scoring his third consecutive La Liga goal.
Playing at Mestalla is a clear advantage for Corberan’s side, as they have earned 21 of their 28 total points at home. Their home record consists of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.42 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Notably, they have won four of their last five league matches at Mestalla.
Mallorca is in good form, as shown by their 2-1 win over Espanyol before the international break. That match saw Muriqi as both a hero and a villain—after scoring an own goal to put Espanyol ahead, he redeemed himself with the match-winner in the 97th minute, despite missing a penalty earlier.
Mallorca is currently on a six-match unbeaten streak (4 draws, 2 wins), scoring 9 goals and conceding 6. However, they have struggled away from home, failing to win since December 21. In their last six away games, they have lost four and drawn two. So far, their away record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses (17 points), with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded in 13 matches.
The last five encounters at Mestalla between these two teams have resulted in 2 wins for Valencia, 2 draws, and 1 win for Mallorca. Three of these five matches ended with under 2.5 goals, including last season’s goalless draw.
This match is expected to be balanced for most of the 90 minutes, with the possibility of a decisive moment swinging the result in favor of one team. Given the stakes, both teams may adopt a cautious approach, leading to a game with limited goal-scoring opportunities.
For this reason, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Valencia vs Mallorca favors Under 2.5 Goals.
VALENCIA (3-4-3): Mamardashvili; Diakhaby, Carlos Tarrega, Cristhian Mosquera; Foulquier, Javi Guerra, Barrenechea, Jose Luis Gaya; Almeida, Diego Lopez; Sadiq. Coach: Corberan
MALLORCA (4-2-3-1): Greif; Pablo Maffeo, Valjent, Antonio Raillo, Johan Mojica; Manu Morlanes, Costa; Asano, Dani Rodriguez, Sergi Darder; Muriqi. Coach: Arrasate
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Valencia
Mallorca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0