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Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 07-11-2026

Valencia

0 - 3

FT

Real Madrid

Estadio de Mestalla
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
scattered clouds 16.83 °C

Prediction published on Nov 5, 2026 8:07 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Nov 5, 2026 8:07 PM

Valencia host Real Madrid at the Estadio de Mestalla on November 7, 2026, with the La Liga match scheduled for 20:00 local time. The home side arrive after a 1-0 win over Elche, but that result has not erased a difficult start to the season: Valencia are 19th, while third-placed Real Madrid have won seven consecutive matches. The contrast is particularly sharp at Mestalla, where Valencia have yet to record a league victory this season. Madrid, meanwhile, travel on the back of a 3-2 win against AEK Athens and will look to extend a run built on consistent scoring and recent success away from home.

Valencia's Recent Form and Key Stats

Valencia have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five matches. Their only victory in that sequence came at Elche on November 1, when Sadiq scored the game's sole goal. It was an important contribution from a forward who had returned after two months out; he has scored twice in four appearances. The win also showed Valencia's ability to withstand pressure, as Elche controlled parts of the match before the visitors took their chance.

The wider league record remains challenging. Valencia have two wins, three draws and six defeats from 11 La Liga matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Across their last five fixtures, those averages stand at 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded. Their recent results include draws against Racing and Athletic Club, alongside home defeats to Real Sociedad and Villarreal. The Elche result offered relief, but Valencia still need to turn isolated positive performances into a more reliable run.

Home form is a particular concern ahead of Real Madrid's visit. Valencia have taken two draws and four defeats from their six league games at Mestalla, conceding 11 goals across those fixtures. Javier Aguirre has recorded one win, two draws and one defeat in his four matches in charge. Among the players available to influence the contest, Javi Guerra has supplied two assists and offers a way for Valencia to carry the ball forward. Otorbi, who stood out against Racing and Athletic Club, was injured against Villarreal.

Real Madrid's Recent Form and Key Stats

Real Madrid enter this fixture with five wins from their last five matches, averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded during that stretch. Their seven-match winning run began with a 1-0 victory over Villarreal and includes a comeback against Roma, 4-1 wins over Sevilla and Leipzig, a 2-1 success against Barça and a 3-0 victory at Racing. Most recently, they beat AEK Athens 3-2 on November 4.

The league figures reinforce that strong run. Madrid have won nine and lost two of their 11 La Liga games, with no draws, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. They have not drawn in their last 20 matches across competitions or in their last 16 league fixtures. Goals have also been a regular feature: Madrid have scored at least once in 29 of their last 31 matches. Those numbers give them a markedly stronger attacking record than Valencia heading into the trip to Mestalla.

Several named players have contributed to that output. Mbappé has 16 goals and three assists in 15 appearances across all competitions, while Bellingham has five goals and three assists. Diomandé has added four goals and four assists. The source material also identifies Bernardo Silva's introduction against Roma as an important moment in Madrid's improved balance under José Mourinho. Together with their results, those contributions underline the range of attacking options Valencia must contend with.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Match Analysis

The main question is whether Valencia can build on their win at Elche when faced with an opponent in much stronger form. Sadiq's return has given the home side a recent match-winning contribution, and Guerra's two assists show another route to creating chances. Yet Valencia's low league scoring average and winless home record leave little margin for error, particularly against a Madrid side averaging more than two goals per league game.

Recent meetings add to the challenge for the hosts. The last head-to-head finished 0-2 on February 8, 2026, and Valencia's record across the five meetings in the supplied summary is one win, one draw and three defeats. Madrid have also avoided a half-time defeat in their last 14 La Liga matches and have led at the interval in their last three league games. An early Valencia resistance is possible, but the visitors' scoring record and sustained winning sequence make them the stronger side on the available evidence.

For Valencia, this is an opportunity to turn a narrow away victory into a more convincing improvement at Mestalla. For Real Madrid, it is a chance to carry their seven-game winning streak into another league fixture. The home side's recent result prevents the match from being judged on league position alone, but Madrid's form, attacking numbers and Valencia's six-game home run without a win point clearly towards the visitors.

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction from BetMines: Real Madrid win (2) with 67% probability.

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Predictions

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Valencia vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Valencia

Real Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

10%

1

90%

9

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

40%

4

60%

6

BetMines

Standings of Valencia and Real Madrid in La Liga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

2

Real Madrid

12

10

0

2

31:10

30

2.5

W
W
W
W
W
19

Valencia

12

2

3

7

8:20

9

0.75

D
D
L
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Who will win ?

Valencia vs Real Madrid: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Valencia vs Real Madrid be played?
The La Liga match between Valencia and Real Madrid will be played on November 7, 2026 at 20:00.
Where will Valencia vs Real Madrid be played?
The match between Valencia and Real Madrid will be played at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia - Spain
Who will referee Valencia vs Real Madrid?
The referee for the match will be Francisco José Hernández Maeso.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Valencia vs Real Madrid in the La Liga?
The odds are: Valencia to win 9.00, draw 6.50, Real Madrid to win 1.27.
What are the betting odds for Valencia vs Real Madrid for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.44 and Under 2.5 at 2.75.
Will both Valencia and Real Madrid score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Valencia vs Real Madrid in the La Liga?
The most likely correct score is 0-2, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Valencia and Real Madrid?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Valencia and Real Madrid, Valencia won 1 times, Real Madrid won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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