Tools
Vasco da Gama
1 - 2
FT
Audax Italiano
Prediction published on Apr 13, 2026 4:02 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on Apr 13, 2026 4:02 AM
The Copa Sudamericana continues this Tuesday with an intriguing clash between Vasco da Gama and Audax Italiano. Both sides arrive with contrasting momentum and ambitions in Group C. The Brazilian team, known as the “Gigante da Colina,” is looking to secure its first victory in the competition after opening with a draw. Playing at home, Vasco aims to capitalize on its strong record in front of its supporters to move up the group standings. Meanwhile, the Chilean visitors are struggling both domestically and continentally, hoping to turn their fortunes around despite a difficult start to the season.
Vasco da Gama come into this fixture after a 1-1 draw against Remo on April 11, 2026, in the Brazilian Serie A Betano. That result extended a mixed run of form, with the team recording 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. During that period, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game, showing a balanced but not overly dominant performance.
In the Copa Sudamericana, Vasco have started cautiously, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses so far. Their matches have been tight, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game in the tournament. Despite the lack of goals, their defensive organization has been solid, and the home advantage could play a decisive role in this encounter. Historically, Vasco tend to perform better when playing in front of their fans, and this fixture offers a good opportunity to confirm their status as one of the group’s favorites.
Audax Italiano are enduring a challenging period both in the Chilean league and in continental competition. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-4 defeat against Universidad Católica on April 11, 2026, a result that highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. Over their last five matches, Audax have managed just 1 win and suffered 4 defeats, with no draws. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored but conceded 1.8 per game, underlining their tendency to be involved in high-scoring yet unfavorable matches.
In the Copa Sudamericana, their record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with an average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The Chilean side have also struggled away from home, losing at half time in 7 of their last 11 away matches. Their recent continental games have been low-scoring overall, with Under 3.5 goals in each of their last 10 Copa Sudamericana fixtures and Under 1.5 goals in the second half of all those matches. This pattern suggests a cautious approach that may not be enough to contain a motivated Vasco side.
This match presents a clear contrast between a home team seeking consistency and an away side desperate to stop the bleeding. Vasco da Gama have shown defensive discipline and a structured approach, which could be key against an opponent that often leaves spaces at the back. Their ability to control possession and dictate the tempo at home should give them an edge, especially considering Audax’s poor away record.
Audax Italiano, on the other hand, will likely focus on compact defending and quick transitions. However, their recent defensive record raises concerns, as they have conceded multiple goals in several consecutive matches. If they fail to tighten up at the back, Vasco’s attacking pressure could prove overwhelming. The Chilean side’s tendency to fade in the second half might also be decisive, particularly against a team that grows stronger as the match progresses.
Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring game is possible, but the home side’s superior form and confidence make them the logical favorites to claim all three points. The combination of Vasco’s home advantage and Audax’s defensive fragility could tilt the balance decisively in favor of the Brazilians.
Vasco da Gama vs Audax Italiano prediction from BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vasco da Gama
Audax Italiano
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1