The upcoming clash between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend in the Brasileirão Série A. Scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026, at 16:00, the match brings together two sides that are still shaping their identities this season. For the home team, the main goal remains to stay clear of the relegation zone, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table. Both teams arrive with renewed confidence after recent victories, suggesting a balanced and competitive encounter in Rio de Janeiro.

Vasco da Gama’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Vasco da Gama come into this match following a thrilling 3-2 win over Fluminense on March 19, a result that boosted morale after a mixed run of performances. In their last five matches, the team recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the current Série A campaign, Vasco have registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.

Defensively, the team has struggled for consistency, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 15 league matches. Another concerning trend is their tendency to start slowly: Vasco have lost at half time in their last three home matches in Série A. However, their attacking output remains encouraging, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 20 of their last 22 league fixtures. This pattern highlights a side that often grows into matches and finds ways to create danger after the break.

Despite some injury concerns — notably the absences of Jair and Matheus Carvalho — the squad retains enough depth to remain competitive. The home crowd will expect the team to build on their recent momentum and deliver another strong performance, especially after back-to-back positive results against Palmeiras and Fluminense.

Grêmio’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Grêmio also approach this fixture in good spirits after a solid 2-0 victory over Vitória on March 19. Their recent form mirrors that of their opponents, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five outings. So far this season, the team from Porto Alegre have achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

Grêmio’s matches have been consistently entertaining, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 13 Série A games. Moreover, they tend to remain active in the second half, as over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 21 of their last 23 matches. This attacking mindset, combined with their ability to manage tight games, makes them a dangerous opponent even away from home.

However, the visitors face several absences, including Arthir, Gustavo Martins, João Pedro, Villasanti, and Marlon, who suffered a serious leg injury. Despite these setbacks, the team has shown resilience and tactical discipline, maintaining a steady position in the top half of the table. Ranked 7th in Série A, Grêmio will look to capitalize on Vasco’s defensive vulnerabilities to extend their unbeaten run.

Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio Tactical Overview

This fixture brings together two teams with similar profiles: both are in transition, both have shown flashes of attacking quality, and both remain prone to defensive lapses. The historical record slightly favors Grêmio, who have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 victory in November 2025. Vasco, however, will rely on home advantage and recent momentum to challenge that trend.

Given the attacking tendencies of both sides and their defensive fragilities, the match could develop into an open contest with chances at both ends. Vasco’s ability to react in the second half may prove crucial, while Grêmio’s structured approach and efficiency in front of goal could make the difference. The home side’s ranking of 10th against Grêmio’s 7th suggests a relatively balanced duel, where small details might decide the outcome.

• Vasco da Gama: 2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses this season; conceded in 15 consecutive league matches.


• Grêmio: 3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; over 1.5 goals in each of their last 13 Série A games.


• Head-to-head: Vasco 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses; average goals 0.6 scored, 1.2 conceded.

Both teams have shown that they can score, but neither has been particularly reliable defensively. This combination often leads to high-tempo matches with multiple goal opportunities. The home advantage could give Vasco a slight edge, yet Grêmio’s experience and organization might balance the scales.

Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio Prediction

Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, this encounter is expected to be open and competitive. Both teams have scored and conceded regularly, and their matches frequently feature goals in the second half. The data also shows a near-even split in win probabilities: Vasco da Gama 49%, Draw 26%, and Grêmio 25%. With both sides capable of finding the net, the most likely scenario points toward an entertaining match with goals from each team.

Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.