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Vasco da Gama
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Olimpia
Prediction published on Aug 12, 2026 8:05 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on Aug 12, 2026 8:05 AM
Vasco da Gama welcome Olimpia on August 14, 2026, for the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana round-of-16 tie. Cup competition has provided encouragement for the Brazilian side, who advanced in the Brazilian Cup after overcoming Fluminense and now have an opportunity to reach the final eight of this continental tournament. Olimpia arrive in a contrasting period: after winning Paraguay’s Apertura tournament, they have collected only one victory from their opening four Clausura fixtures. Recent results also underline the difference in momentum between these teams, with Vasco unbeaten across their last five matches while Olimpia have suffered four defeats during the same sequence. The available head-to-head summary is evenly balanced at one win apiece, although Vasco won the latest meeting 3-1 on May 20, 2026.
Vasco da Gama enter this Copa Sudamericana contest after a goalless draw against Bahia on August 9. That result extended their current five-match record to two victories, three draws and no defeats. Their numbers over that period point to a disciplined side: Vasco have averaged 1.0 goal scored per game while allowing only 0.4. Although their attacking production has not been explosive, the ability to avoid defeat and restrict opponents gives them a stable platform before the first leg.
The Brazilian club’s Copa Sudamericana campaign has produced four wins, two draws and two losses. Vasco have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in the competition, showing a stronger attacking return than in their latest five fixtures. They are listed first in the supplied Copa Sudamericana ranking, with Olimpia second. Another significant trend concerns the opening 45 minutes: at least one team failed to score before half-time in 28 of Vasco’s last 30 matches. This suggests their games have frequently begun with one side unable to make an early breakthrough.
There are several selection issues for Vasco. The article reports that Andre Gomez, who has four goals and three assists this season, is unavailable because of a toe injury. Argentine reinforcements Santiago Soasa and Facundo Colidio cannot be used in this match because they were not registered. However, Adson is available, bringing a recorded contribution of five goals and three assists. The home side will therefore be missing options but still retain a proven source of goals and assists in their attacking group.
Home conditions also provide a positive element. The source notes that Vasco have never lost against this opponent when playing in Brazil. More broadly, the team are carrying a six-match unbeaten run across all competitions into this first leg. Four of their previous five games finished with fewer than 2.5 total goals, matching the recent defensive average and indicating that control has been a central feature of their current form.
Olimpia come into the match following a 1-0 defeat against 2 de Mayo on August 8. Their last five fixtures have ended with one win and four losses, without a draw. Across those games, the Paraguayan club have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Those attacking numbers show that they have still found goals during this difficult run, but the defensive return has not been strong enough to prevent a series of defeats.
Their Copa Sudamericana record is much more convincing. Olimpia have registered five wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals for and 0.9 against per match. These figures highlight a clear contrast between their overall recent sequence and their performance within this competition. They have also avoided draws in each of their last 16 away fixtures, while every one of their previous 13 matches has featured at least one second-half goal. Consequently, the period after the interval has repeatedly produced a scoring moment in Olimpia games.
Travelling to Brazil has historically been challenging for the Paraguayan side. According to the source material, Olimpia have won only six of 46 international matches played on Brazilian soil. Their more immediate away record also raises questions, with just two victories from their last eight matches on the road. In their previous five away games, they scored only three times, illustrating the difficulty they have faced when trying to maintain attacking output outside their own ground.
Olimpia can nevertheless call upon recent reinforcements for this tie. Tim Payne and Braian Romero are both available, while the younger players have assumed greater responsibility following Adrian Alcaraz’s departure. Eduardo Delmas and Romeo Benitez have combined for three goals and two assists since making their Olimpia debuts. Their contribution could be important for a side that scored in only two of the five matches described in the source’s recent-form assessment.
The first leg brings together Vasco’s current consistency and Olimpia’s stronger Copa Sudamericana record. The hosts have not lost in their latest five matches, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals during that run, whereas the visitors have been beaten four times in five. Vasco’s recent defensive control, combined with Olimpia’s return of only three goals across their last five away fixtures, may make space and clear chances particularly valuable.
However, Olimpia’s continental statistics prevent this from being viewed solely through the lens of short-term form. Their five wins from seven Copa Sudamericana matches represent an effective campaign, and their averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded are marginally better defensively than Vasco’s tournament figures. The visitors’ run of 13 consecutive games featuring a second-half goal also suggests that the tie may change after the break, especially if the opening period follows Vasco’s recurring first-half pattern.
The latest head-to-head meeting ended 3-1 in favour of Vasco da Gama, but the overall supplied record stands level at one victory each, with no draws. Vasco have home advantage, an unbeaten sequence and the better immediate defensive numbers; Olimpia counter with a superior win total in this season’s Copa Sudamericana and several available reinforcements. Those contrasting indicators set up a competitive first leg in which patience, defensive concentration and the use of second-half opportunities could shape the result.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vasco da Gama
Olimpia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
7
3