Tools
Vasco da Gama
3 - 0
FT
Olimpia
Prediction published on Apr 29, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on Apr 29, 2026 4:01 AM
The third round of the Copa Sudamericana brings an intriguing clash between Vasco da Gama and Olimpia, two sides with very different trajectories so far in the competition. The Brazilian team will host the match at São Januário, aiming to recover from a slow start in the group stage, while the Paraguayan visitors arrive full of confidence after an impressive run both domestically and internationally. This encounter promises intensity, as both teams are eager to strengthen their position in the standings and take a decisive step toward qualification.
Vasco da Gama enter this fixture under pressure after failing to win any of their first two Copa Sudamericana matches. Their campaign so far shows a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, with an average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The team’s recent form across all competitions also reflects inconsistency, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five outings. Their most recent match ended in a 1-0 defeat against Corinthians on April 26, 2026.
Defensively, Vasco have struggled to maintain solidity, conceding 21 goals in their last 15 matches across league and continental competitions. This vulnerability has often cost them points, especially at home, where they have lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 matches. Offensively, the team has found it difficult to convert chances, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 2 of their last 10 Copa Sudamericana games. However, their resilience and home support could play a crucial role in turning things around.
For Vasco, this match represents more than just three points—it’s an opportunity to regain confidence and prove that they can compete against one of the strongest sides in the group. A solid defensive performance and better finishing in front of goal will be essential if they hope to secure their first victory in the tournament.
On the other hand, Olimpia arrive in Brazil as one of the most consistent teams in the competition. The Paraguayan side currently lead their Copa Sudamericana group with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match. Their overall form is equally impressive, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five games, despite a narrow 3-2 loss to Libertad on April 25, 2026.
Olimpia’s attacking efficiency has been one of their main strengths this season, having scored 30 goals in 19 matches across all competitions. Their ability to perform away from home is particularly noteworthy: the team has won 8 of their last 10 away matches and scored at least one goal in each of their last 14 away fixtures. This consistency on the road makes them a formidable opponent for any host.
With a balanced mix of defensive discipline and attacking sharpness, Olimpia have proven capable of adapting to different match scenarios. Their confidence and momentum could give them the edge, especially against a Vasco side still searching for consistency. However, maintaining focus and avoiding complacency will be key if they want to extend their unbeaten run in the competition.
This match promises to be a fascinating battle between two teams with contrasting dynamics. Vasco da Gama will rely on their home advantage and the urgency to secure points, while Olimpia will look to exploit their strong away form and attacking efficiency. The Brazilians must tighten their defense and find more creativity in the final third to challenge a side that has been nearly flawless in the group stage.
Given the statistical trends, goals are likely to play a decisive role. Vasco’s defensive fragility and Olimpia’s consistent scoring record suggest that both teams could find the net. The visitors’ ability to score in every away match for over a dozen games adds further weight to this expectation. Meanwhile, the hosts’ need to respond in front of their fans could push them to take more risks offensively, opening up spaces at the back.
Overall, the encounter is expected to be balanced but lively, with both sides having enough attacking potential to make an impact. The outcome could hinge on small details—defensive concentration, set pieces, or a moment of individual brilliance.
Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vasco da Gama
Olimpia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2