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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 4:02 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Venezia and Empoli promises to be decisive for both sides, albeit for very different reasons. The home team are on the verge of sealing direct promotion, while the visitors are fighting to avoid slipping into the relegation play-out zone. A victory for Venezia, combined with a defeat for Monza or Frosinone, would mathematically secure their return to the top flight. For Empoli, however, every point is crucial, as they sit just one point above the danger zone. The contrast between the two teams could not be starker: one chasing glory, the other battling for survival.
Venezia have been the standout team of the Serie B season, leading the table with consistency and style. Their record of 22 wins, 9 draws, and only 4 defeats underlines their dominance. The team averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, reflecting both attacking flair and defensive solidity. In their last five matches, they have collected 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.8.
At home, Venezia have been almost untouchable. They have not drawn in their last 17 home matches in Serie B, and have won at half time in each of their last five home fixtures. Their stadium has become a fortress, with 15 victories in 17 home games this season. The team’s attacking efficiency is particularly impressive, having scored in 28 of their last 30 matches overall and in 27 of their last 29 league games. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 28 of their last 30 matches, confirming their tendency to produce high-scoring encounters.
Confidence is sky-high after their recent 0-3 away win against Bari 1908 on April 18, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to 23 of the last 24 Serie B matches. With promotion within reach, Venezia will look to maintain their attacking rhythm and capitalize on their home advantage once again.
For Empoli, the season has been a struggle. Currently ranked 15th, they are just one point clear of the relegation play-out zone. Their overall record of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 14 defeats tells the story of a team that has found it difficult to build momentum. Averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Empoli’s performances have been inconsistent, particularly away from home.
In their last five matches, Empoli have managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding the same number. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Virtus Entella on April 19, a result that did little to ease relegation fears. The team has not won away from home since January 10, and their defensive issues continue to haunt them, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 Serie B matches.
Despite these struggles, Empoli’s matches tend to feature goals, with over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in each of their last 19 away games. This pattern suggests that while they often find themselves under pressure, they also have the capacity to respond late in matches. However, facing the league leaders away from home will be a daunting challenge.
The contrast between the two sides could not be more pronounced. Venezia are in full control of their destiny, boasting the best attack in the league and a home record that intimidates any opponent. Their ability to dominate possession and create numerous chances has been a hallmark of their campaign. Even when they fail to convert all their opportunities, their relentless offensive pressure usually pays off.
Empoli, on the other hand, are struggling to find consistency. Their defense has been leaky, and their away form poor. They will likely approach this match with a cautious mindset, hoping to frustrate Venezia and capitalize on counterattacks. However, given Venezia’s current momentum and the stakes involved, the visitors will need an exceptional performance to avoid defeat.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with the last head-to-head ending 1-1 on October 19, 2025. Yet, the current form and motivation levels suggest that this time the home side could break that pattern. With promotion within touching distance, Venezia are expected to push hard from the start, aiming to secure an early lead and maintain control throughout the match.
Given these trends, the match is expected to feature goals, particularly from the home side. Venezia’s attacking power and Empoli’s defensive fragility point toward a high-scoring encounter, with the hosts likely to dominate proceedings. The home crowd will be eager to celebrate what could be a promotion-clinching victory.
Venezia vs Empoli prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Venezia
Empoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2