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Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 5:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 5:33 PM
Venezia host Inter at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on October 28 in a Serie A fixture between the teams ranked 20th and first. Venezia have three points from eight league matches and are trying to recover from a 1-0 defeat to Genoa. Inter arrive with 22 points, having beaten Fiorentina 2-1 in their latest match. Their contrasting results make this a demanding test for the hosts, although Venezia’s recent performances have offered Davide Nicola some encouragement despite the losses.
Venezia have won one and lost seven of their first eight Serie A games. Across their last five matches, they have recorded one victory and four defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 2.0 per game. Their season averages are similarly difficult: 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per league fixture. Venezia have also lost eight of their last ten matches in all competitions, leaving Nicola with little time to turn competitive performances into points.
The defeat against Genoa illustrated their finishing problem. Venezia registered 19 shots and an expected-goals figure of 1.98, yet still lost 1-0. They have shown that they can create chances, but converting them remains essential if they are to challenge opponents with Inter’s recent record. Their only league win so far came against Napoli, while the change from Giovanni Stroppa to Nicola initially brought a lift without producing a sustained improvement in results.
Busio remains an important absence for the home side. Franjic, Correia, Sverko and Bella-Kotchap are also unavailable. Another notable feature of Venezia’s home results is that they have not drawn in their last 20 home matches. There has been at least one second-half goal in each of their last 12 home games, too. Those sequences do not settle what will happen against Inter, but they underline how rarely Venezia’s recent home fixtures have stayed unchanged through to the final whistle.
Inter lead Serie A after seven wins and one draw from eight matches. They have won four of their last five games, with one defeat, and have averaged 2.4 goals scored across that spell. Their league scoring average is even higher at 2.9 per match, alongside 1.3 conceded. They are also unbeaten in their last 18 Serie A games, a run that gives them a markedly stronger recent league record than their hosts.
Against Fiorentina on October 25, Inter recovered from a goal scored by Jimenez. Thuram equalised before Piotr Zielinski converted a stoppage-time penalty following a foul on Thuram, completing a 2-1 comeback. It was Inter’s fourth consecutive league win. Across all competitions, they have scored at least once in their last 23 matches; in Serie A, that scoring run extends across their last 18.
Coach Chivu may make changes across the side, with a derby against Milan scheduled for the following round. Lautaro Martinez remains unavailable because of a muscular problem, but the source account identifies Bonny and Pio Esposito among Inter’s attacking options. Inter have won two of their last four league away matches and average two goals scored per away game. At least one first-half goal has featured in each of their last 11 away fixtures, giving Venezia another clear measure of the challenge ahead.
The recent meetings favour Inter. They have won all five of the latest head-to-head matches, with Venezia averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across those games. The most recent meeting finished 5-1 on December 3, 2025. Combined with the current league records, that history points to a considerable gap, even if Inter rotate some of their players.
Venezia’s best encouragement comes from their ability to produce openings, as the 19 attempts against Genoa demonstrated. To make those chances matter here, they will need a more clinical display than they managed in that defeat. Keeping Inter quiet presents a separate problem: the visitors have scored in every one of their last 18 league games, while Venezia have conceded an average of 2.1 goals per Serie A match this season.
Inter’s comeback against Fiorentina showed their capacity to respond after falling behind, while Venezia’s run of four defeats in five matches shows how costly missed chances have become. The hosts can take confidence from creating opportunities, but Inter bring stronger league form, a sustained scoring streak and five consecutive wins in this fixture. Those are the clearest factors shaping this Venezia vs Inter preview.
Venezia vs Inter prediction from BetMines: Inter win (2) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Venezia
Inter
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
7
3
7
3