Venezia and Juventus, despite a 38-point gap in the standings, head into the final matchday of the Serie A season with one crucial thing in common: both must win to achieve their respective goals. For the Lagooners, it’s survival; for the Bianconeri, it’s securing a UEFA Champions League spot. However, there’s a key difference: Eusebio Di Francesco’s side, on the verge of a second consecutive relegation after going down with Frosinone, does not have its fate in its own hands. Venezia sits second-to-last, two points away from safety. Juventus, currently fourth with a one-point lead over Roma, controls its destiny. For Venezia, even a victory over Juventus might not be enough—they’ll need favorable outcomes in Lecce vs Lazio and Empoli vs Verona, where direct relegation rivals are also fighting for survival. A major improvement will be needed compared to last matchday, when Venezia suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat away at Cagliari, missing a key chance to close the gap. Juventus, on the other hand, bounced back with a vital win over Udinese, helping them stay ahead of Lazio and keep Roma at bay after their win against AC Milan. With just 90 minutes left in the season, Igor Tudor’s aim is to claim his first away win as Juventus manager, locking in the club’s minimum seasonal target and strengthening his case to stay on the bench next season. A season in which Juve fans expect the team to return to title contention.

Venezia Recent Form and Key Stats

Venezia’s 3-0 loss to Cagliari last weekend ended a promising run that included a 1-1 draw with Torino and a 2-1 win over Fiorentina. Over their last five Serie A matches, Venezia have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.

Under Eusebio Di Francesco, Venezia have picked up 29 points from 5 wins, 14 draws, and 18 defeats, scoring 30 and conceding 53 goals in 37 matches. At home, the Arancioneroverdi have earned 20 points: 5 wins (two of which came recently against Monza and Fiorentina) and 5 draws, with 3 of them coming in 2025. Their calendar-year record at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo reads 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses.

Juventus Recent Form and Key Stats

Thanks to goals from Nico Gonzalez and Dusan Vlahovic, Juventus returned to winning ways with a 2-0 victory over Udinese, after back-to-back 1-1 draws away to Bologna and Lazio. The Old Lady is unbeaten in four games, including a 2-0 home win against Monza on April 27.

Juventus sit fourth in the standings with 67 points, derived from 17 wins, 16 draws, and just 4 losses. They’ve scored 55 and conceded 33 goals—giving them the second-best defense in the league. However, their main weakness remains their away form: only 27 points earned on the road from 6 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats. Their last away win dates back to February 23 (1-0 at Cagliari, under Thiago Motta). Since then, they’ve registered two losses and three draws away from home.

Venezia vs Juventus Prediction and Tactical Overview

With both sides fighting for major stakes on the final matchday, expect a cautious start from both teams, aiming to avoid conceding first. Juventus, who haven't lost away to Venezia since 1962, are favorites based on both recent form and historical record.

The Bianconeri will be without suspended defender Pierre Kalulu. They haven’t scored more than once in an away match since a 2-1 win over Como in early February. They were also held scoreless in their last away loss to Parma on April 23. A contributing factor has been the underperformance of their strikers: Randal Kolo Muani has scored just twice in his last 12 appearances, while Vlahovic ended a two-month drought with his recent goal vs Udinese.

Since January, Venezia have held their own against top-tier opposition at home, albeit without scoring: 1-0 losses to Inter, Roma, and Bologna, and goalless draws against Lazio and Napoli. The Arancioneroverdi have found defensive stability at home but continue to struggle up front due to the lack of a clinical striker.

Considering the above, the Venezia vs Juventus prediction for Week 38 of Serie A, drawn up by the BetMines algorithm, predicts an unspectacular match, with less than three goals overall.

• Venezia vs Juventus prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts a match with Over 2.5 goals at 44%.
  
  
• Venezia vs Juventus prediction from the BetMines Algorithm predicts a match with Under 2.5 goals at 56%.

Venezia vs Juventus Predicted Lineups

VENEZIA (3-5-2): Radu; Schingtienne, Candé, Haps; Zerbin, Perez, Nicolussi Caviglia, Busio, Ellertsson; Yeboah, Gytkjaer. Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco

JUVENTUS (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio; Costa, Kelly, Savona; Nico Gonzalez, Thuram, Locatelli, Cambiaso; Conceiçao, Yildiz; Kolo Muani. Coach: Igor Tudor