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Prediction published on Nov 27, 2025 4:04 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Nov 27, 2025 4:04 PM
The Serie B clash between Venezia and Mantova promises to be an intriguing contest between two sides in contrasting phases of their season. This will be their second meeting of the campaign after Venezia’s emphatic 4-0 victory in the early cup fixture, when Yeboah and Doumbia both scored twice. Since then, the two teams have followed very different paths: Venezia have established themselves among the promotion contenders, while Mantova have recently found form after a difficult start. The match at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo on November 29, 2025, could therefore be decisive for both teams’ ambitions.
Venezia enter this fixture in fifth place in Serie B, just four points off the automatic promotion spots. Their home record has been outstanding, with five wins in six matches at the Penzo, where they have scored freely and conceded sparingly. In fact, Venezia have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, while maintaining an impressive defensive consistency — they have not lost at half time in their last 15 matches overall and in their last 13 league games.
In their most recent outing, Venezia secured a crucial 2-0 away win against Padova, ending a long run without success on the road. That result boosted morale ahead of their return home, where they have scored nine goals in their last three matches. The team’s attacking rhythm has been particularly strong in front of their fans, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in each of their last ten home fixtures. Moreover, they have led at half time in their last four home league games, underlining their ability to start matches aggressively and control proceedings early on.
Coach Paolo Vanoli’s side combines solid organization with attacking flair, and the balance between defense and offense has been key to their success. The team’s recent performances suggest they are capable of maintaining their promotion push, especially when playing at home, where confidence and momentum are clearly on their side.
Mantova have experienced a remarkable turnaround after a poor start to the season. Once considered one of the weakest teams in the opening ten rounds, they have now climbed to 15th place thanks to three consecutive victories. Their latest triumph, a 4-1 win over Spezia, was a statement performance that lifted them out of the relegation zone and restored belief within the squad.
Under their current form, Mantova have shown improved defensive stability and greater attacking efficiency. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. This represents a significant improvement compared to their early-season struggles, when they often failed to convert chances and leaked goals at the back. Their season averages still reflect some inconsistency — 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match — but the recent upturn in results suggests a team gaining confidence and cohesion.
Despite their progress, Mantova face a daunting challenge in Venice. Their away record remains fragile, and the head-to-head history does not favor them: Venezia have won three and drawn one of the last four meetings, conceding just 0.3 goals per game on average. To get a result at the Penzo, Mantova will need to maintain the intensity and discipline that characterized their recent performances, while finding a way to contain Venezia’s potent attack.
This encounter brings together two sides with contrasting styles and objectives. Venezia are a well-drilled, attack-minded team that thrives on possession and quick transitions, particularly at home. Their ability to press high and capitalize on early chances has been a defining feature of their recent success. The fact that they have not lost at half time in 15 consecutive matches highlights their consistency and focus from the opening whistle.
Mantova, on the other hand, have found success through compact defending and efficient counterattacks. Their recent victories have come from exploiting opponents’ mistakes and converting chances clinically. However, facing a side like Venezia — who dominate territory and create numerous scoring opportunities — will test their defensive resilience. The visitors will likely aim to stay compact and hit on the break, but they must also be wary of Venezia’s strong home momentum and attacking depth.
Historically, matches between these two have been one-sided, with Venezia dominating both in terms of results and goals scored. The 4-0 result earlier this season remains fresh in memory, and while Mantova have improved since then, the gap in quality and consistency remains evident. With Venezia’s attacking form and home advantage, another high-scoring performance could be on the cards.
The most likely outcome is a Venezia win (1) with a 56% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Mantova win (2) stands at 20%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Venezia
Mantova
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
5
5
6
4