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Venezia
3 - 2
FT
Modena
Prediction published on Aug 13, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Aug 13, 2026 7:02 PM
Venezia and Modena meet at the Penzo on Saturday at 20:45 in one of the most intriguing fixtures of this Coppa Italia round. Scheduled for August 15, 2026, the contest brings together two sides that have faced each other regularly in recent seasons, while the friendship between their supporters should help create a celebratory sporting atmosphere. Venezia enter the tie as the newly promoted Serie A team and have retained much of the squad that proved highly effective at the second-tier level. Modena, meanwhile, have strengthened during the summer and will attempt to challenge opponents who have generally held the upper hand in this matchup. The available Coppa Italia ranking lists Venezia first and Modena second, adding further interest to a game in which recent form, contrasting scoring records and first-half trends could all play a significant role.
Venezia approach this Coppa Italia match with an impressive sequence of results. Their last five games produced three wins, one draw and one defeat, with an average of 4.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their most recent listed fixture ended in a 2-2 draw against Brest on August 8, 2026. That result fits the broader pattern of high-scoring Venezia games: more than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 matches and in each of their previous 10 home fixtures. They have also scored at least once in 31 of their last 33 games, underlining the regularity with which their attack has found a breakthrough.
The home side retained much of the group that earned promotion to Serie A, while Rrahmani arrived from Sparta Prague and Akor Adams joined from Sevilla to add further options in attack. Yeboah and Adorante are also part of an offensive department that had already demonstrated its effectiveness. Although the challenge of Serie A will provide a different test, this cup tie places Venezia against an opponent from the same competitive level they encountered last season.
Venezia’s wider record also points to considerable resilience, as they have avoided defeat in 23 of their last 24 matches. Their home results have been decisive rather than balanced: they have not drawn any of their previous 19 matches on their own ground. The first half may be especially important. Venezia have not been behind at the interval in their last 14 games, have led at half-time in eight of the previous 11 overall and have done so in 12 of their last 17 home fixtures. However, their Coppa Italia figures offer a note of caution, as they have trailed at half-time in six of their last 10 matches in this competition. In addition, at least one second-half goal has been scored in 28 of their previous 31 games, suggesting that the contest may continue to develop after the break.
Modena come into the fixture with a more restrained statistical profile. Across their last five matches, they have collected two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game. Their latest listed result was a 0-0 draw against Vis Pesaro on August 8, 2026. They had also beaten Trento in a friendly on August 1, although the available preparation results provide only a limited picture before this Coppa Italia assignment.
The visitors made several additions during the summer and will hope those changes allow them to compete effectively against a Venezia side carrying strong momentum. Modena’s recent matches have generally been controlled in terms of the overall score: under 3.5 total goals were recorded in 25 of their last 27 fixtures. Their average of just 0.4 goals conceded across the latest five games further illustrates the defensive resistance they have recently shown, even though their own scoring average is well below Venezia’s figure over the same period.
There are nevertheless warning signs in Modena’s away starts. They have been behind at half-time in each of their last three away matches, a particularly relevant trend given Venezia’s frequent half-time leads at home. Modena games also tend to begin with at least one side failing to score: this occurred in the first half of 28 of their previous 30 fixtures. The visitors may therefore need to remain competitive during the opening period before looking for opportunities as the match progresses. They can also take encouragement from the latest head-to-head result, a 2-0 victory on February 10, 2026, which demonstrates that they have recently found a way to overcome Saturday’s opponents.
The broader head-to-head summary gives Venezia three wins, one draw and one defeat against Modena, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. That record gives the hosts an overall advantage, but Modena’s victory in the most recent meeting prevents this from looking like a straightforward assignment. Venezia’s current sequence is difficult to overlook: only one defeat in 24 matches, goals in 31 of 33 and more than 1.5 total goals in 19 of 20 all indicate a side capable of applying sustained pressure. Their lack of home draws also suggests that matches at the Penzo have tended to produce a clear outcome.
Modena’s numbers point in a different direction. Their recent defensive average is strong, and 25 of their last 27 games have stayed below four total goals. The visitors will aim to use that solidity to contain a Venezia attack reinforced during the summer. The opening 45 minutes could shape the entire contest. Venezia regularly lead at the interval, particularly at home, whereas Modena have trailed at half-time in three consecutive away games. At the same time, Venezia’s less convincing first-half Coppa Italia record means the hosts cannot assume that their wider trends will transfer automatically to this competition.
Overall, the Venezia vs Modena Coppa Italia preview presents a clash between the hosts’ powerful recent scoring output and the visitors’ disciplined defensive numbers. Venezia appear to bring the stronger overall momentum, while Modena have both a recent head-to-head success and a low concession rate to support their challenge. With familiar opponents, decisive home trends and contrasting approaches to recent matches, this tie has the ingredients to remain competitive even if Venezia succeed in imposing their attacking rhythm.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Venezia
Modena
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
6
4
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
5
5
8
2