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Prediction published on Dec 11, 2025 3:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Dec 11, 2025 3:03 PM
The highlight of the sixteenth round of Serie B brings together two promotion contenders, Venezia and Monza. Scheduled for Saturday afternoon, this clash at the Penzo Stadium promises intensity and goals, as both sides aim to strengthen their position in the race for Serie A promotion. With Venezia currently sitting fourth and Monza second in the standings, the stakes could not be higher for either team.
Venezia approach this match after a 1-1 draw against Avellino on December 8, a result that slightly slowed their momentum but still confirmed their attacking potential. Over the last five matches, the team has collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall Serie B record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
The Penzo Stadium has been a fortress this season: Venezia have won six of their seven victories at home, and Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last eleven home fixtures. The team’s attacking mindset is evident, as they have also led at half time in their last five home matches. Even when facing strong opponents, Venezia tend to play on the front foot, creating numerous chances and maintaining a high tempo. Their consistency in front of goal is remarkable — the last time they failed to score at home dates back to April 27 against Milan.
Monza arrive in Venice after a 1-1 draw against Südtirol, their second consecutive stalemate, which cost them the top spot in the table now shared with Frosinone. Despite that, their form remains solid: in the last five matches, they have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, remaining unbeaten. Their attacking efficiency is slightly lower than Venezia’s, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, but their defensive record is impressive — only 0.6 goals conceded on average in the same period.
Across the season, Monza’s Serie B record reads 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. The team’s resilience away from home is particularly noteworthy: they have lost only once on the road and have scored in each of their last ten away fixtures. Moreover, Monza have not trailed at half time in 18 of their last 20 matches, showing great tactical balance and mental strength. Their ability to control the rhythm of the game and strike at key moments makes them a dangerous opponent for any side.
Historically, the meetings between Venezia and Monza have been balanced but slightly favorable to the home side. In their last five encounters, Venezia have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.2. The most recent head-to-head ended 1-0 on April 12, 2025, confirming how tight and competitive this fixture can be.
Given both teams’ attacking profiles and their current form, this match is expected to be open and entertaining. Venezia’s aggressive approach at home often leads to high-scoring games, while Monza’s efficiency and composure on the road suggest they will not sit back. With both sides eager to secure three points to boost their promotion hopes, a cautious approach seems unlikely. Instead, fans can expect a fast-paced contest with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities on both ends.
All indicators point towards a lively encounter. Venezia have been prolific at home, consistently finding the net and often taking early leads. Monza, on the other hand, combine solid defense with clinical finishing and rarely leave a match without scoring. The statistical trends reinforce this expectation: Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 55% of Venezia’s recent games, while Both Teams To Score has landed in 57% of their combined fixtures.
Considering the offensive strengths of both sides and their mutual need for victory, the most plausible scenario is that both teams will find the back of the net. Neither side is likely to settle for a draw, and the attacking quality on display should ensure an entertaining afternoon at the Penzo.
Venezia vs Monza prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Venezia
Monza
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
5
5
5
5