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Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 1:06 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 1:06 PM
Venezia host Napoli in the seventh round of the 2026/27 Serie A season on Saturday, October 17, with kick-off at 13:00 local time. The meeting at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo brings together a newly promoted home side still searching for its first league point and a Napoli team whose results have varied across domestic and European competition. Venezia have lost all six Serie A matches and sit 20th, while eighth-placed Napoli arrive after a midweek defeat to Villarreal. Venezia’s change of coach adds another question to a fixture in which Napoli’s stronger league record must be weighed against their recent difficulties away from home.
Venezia have endured seven consecutive defeats in all competitions, including six losses from six in Serie A. Their latest setback was a 3-1 defeat away to Atalanta on October 12. Venezia were three goals behind inside the opening half-hour before scoring their consolation goal. Following that result, the club replaced Giovanni Stroppa with Davide Nicola, who takes charge of a side still looking to turn performances into points.
The defensive figures explain much of Venezia’s difficult start. They have conceded an average of 2.7 goals per Serie A match while scoring 0.8. Across their last five matches, they have no wins or draws, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Three of their last four games have featured three goals conceded, and all three home league fixtures so far have ended in defeats by two-goal margins. Nicola therefore faces an immediate task at both ends of the pitch: reducing the goals allowed without losing the opportunities Venezia have found to score.
The longer-running home trends also deserve attention in this Venezia vs Napoli preview. Venezia have not drawn any of their last 19 home matches, while each of their last 14 home games has produced over 1.5 total goals. That over 1.5 sequence extends to 16 matches when home and away fixtures are combined. At least one second-half goal has been scored in Venezia’s last 11 home matches and in 20 of their last 22 games overall. These are match-goal figures, rather than goals scored by Venezia alone, but they underline how often their fixtures have featured scoring.
Napoli travel after losing 3-1 to Villarreal in the Champions League on October 13, their fourth defeat in seven competitive matches. Their most recent league outing provided a better result: a 3-0 home victory over Frosinone, with Kevin De Bruyne scoring twice and Noa Lang adding the other goal. Under Massimiliano Allegri, Napoli have collected seven points from their last three Serie A games, a run comprising two wins and a draw.
Napoli’s league record stands at three wins, one draw and two defeats. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per Serie A match, figures that compare favourably with Venezia’s early-season numbers. Across their last five matches in all competitions, however, Napoli have two wins, one draw and two losses, scoring 1.2 goals per game. They have also gone three away matches without a victory across league and cup fixtures, making their ability to carry home-league form into this trip an important part of the contest.
There is a contrasting away statistic: Napoli have led at half-time in six of their last ten Serie A matches on the road. That record suggests they are capable of making a strong start, although it does not erase the recent winless run away from home. With Venezia adapting to a new coach, the opening period could reveal whether Napoli can impose themselves or whether the hosts can make this a more competitive meeting than their league record suggests.
Nicola’s selection could change as he begins work with Venezia, but Stankovic is expected in goal. Schingtienne is favoured over Halhal to join Juan Jesus and Moreno in defence. Hainaut, Basic, Sohm, Perez and Sagrado are the suggested midfield options, with Sagrado ahead of Haps in the selection discussion. Yeboah and Adams are expected to form the attacking pair.
Napoli are expected to continue with the 3-4-2-1 used in their previous league match. Meret is favoured in goal behind Rrahmani, Rafa Marin and Badiashile. The projected midfield consists of Di Lorenzo, Lobotka, McTominay and Spinazzola. Lang and De Bruyne are expected to support Hojlund, with McTominay set to return to the starting side.
Napoli enter with the better Serie A record, but neither side arrives without concerns. Venezia’s six straight league defeats and high concession average point to a difficult challenge for Nicola in his first match, particularly against visitors averaging 1.7 league goals scored. Napoli, meanwhile, have not won any of their last three away fixtures across competitions and conceded three at Villarreal in midweek. Their 3-0 league win over Frosinone offers a more encouraging comparison, though the two results show why this trip cannot be judged on league position alone.
Previous meetings provide a different perspective from Venezia’s current goal-heavy run. The most recent Venezia-Napoli match finished 0-0 on March 16, 2025, and Venezia’s head-to-head summary against Napoli is no wins, one draw and three defeats, with an average of 0.0 goals scored. Even so, the present scoring trends are notable: Venezia’s last 16 matches have all contained at least two total goals, and their Serie A games this season have featured a combined average of 3.5 goals based on their scoring and concession rates. Napoli’s league matches average 2.7 by the same measure. Those figures make total goals a relevant angle, while the goalless last meeting remains a reason for caution.
Venezia vs Napoli prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Venezia
Napoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
4
6
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2