Two of the three Triveneto clubs face each other at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo in the tenth round of Serie B, as Venezia host Südtirol in what promises to be a tightly contested northern derby. The match kicks off on Wednesday at 20:30, with both sides looking to bounce back from recent setbacks and strengthen their positions in the league table. Venezia currently sit eighth, while Südtirol are twelfth, separated by just a few points in a very balanced mid-table zone.

Venezia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Venezia come into this fixture after a disappointing 3-2 defeat against Carrarese on October 25, a result that once again highlighted their struggles away from home. The Lagunari have not won on the road for over a year and a half, a statistic that contrasts sharply with their strong performances at home. At the Penzo, they have collected 9 of their 13 points so far this season, losing only once – against Cesena. This home strength makes them one of the most dangerous sides in Serie B when playing in front of their supporters.

In terms of overall performance, Venezia’s record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their last five games show a balanced form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), and they have maintained defensive consistency, having avoided trailing at half-time in 26 of their last 29 matches. Despite occasional lapses, coach Paolo Vanoli’s team remains compact and difficult to break down, particularly in the first half. The main challenge for Venezia has been converting dominance into goals, as only three of their last ten matches have featured fewer than 0.5 goals, indicating a tendency for low-scoring first halves.

With the likes of Pohjanpalo and Busio leading the attack, Venezia will aim to rediscover their scoring touch and capitalize on their home advantage. The team’s ambition remains to fight for promotion, and a victory here would keep them within reach of the playoff zone.

Südtirol’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Südtirol started the 2025/26 Serie B campaign brightly but have recently lost momentum. Their 0-1 home defeat to Cesena on October 25 extended a winless run to four matches, during which they have collected only two points. This dip in form has brought them dangerously close to the relegation play-out zone, now just one point away. Nevertheless, the team’s away record remains noteworthy: they have drawn all four of their away fixtures so far, against Mantova, Pescara, Frosinone, and Catanzaro. These results underline their pragmatic approach, prioritizing defensive solidity and risk management over attacking flair.

Across the season, Südtirol’s record reads 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) show a slight decline in performance, but the team continues to demonstrate resilience. Interestingly, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten away matches, suggesting that their games on the road tend to be open and competitive. Coach Federico Valente’s men will likely adopt a cautious strategy in Venice, aiming to frustrate their opponents and exploit counterattacking opportunities through players like Odogwu and Casiraghi.

Given their current form and the importance of avoiding another defeat, Südtirol are expected to focus on maintaining their unbeaten away streak, even if that means settling for another draw.

Venezia vs Südtirol Prediction and Tactical Overview

This northern Italian clash brings together two sides with contrasting home and away dynamics. Venezia are formidable at the Penzo, while Südtirol have proven difficult to beat on their travels. Historically, the fixture has been balanced, with Südtirol winning three of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory in February 2024. However, Venezia’s current home form and attacking potential make them slight favorites this time around.

Expect Venezia to control possession and push forward through their wide players, while Südtirol will likely sit deep, relying on defensive organization and quick transitions. The match could be decided by small details, particularly set pieces or individual brilliance in the final third. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, a tight contest with limited goal opportunities seems likely, though Venezia’s superior home record gives them the edge.

From a tactical perspective, the key battle will be in midfield, where Venezia’s technical quality must overcome Südtirol’s compact defensive block. If the hosts can maintain their usual intensity and avoid defensive lapses, they have every chance of returning to winning ways.

Venezia vs Südtirol prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Venezia win (1) with a 48% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 27%, while a Südtirol win (2) stands at 26%.