VfB Stuttgart welcome Borussia Dortmund to the MHPArena for a Bundesliga fixture on September 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time. The two teams enter the contest from contrasting league positions and recent results. Stuttgart are 14th after recording one win and two defeats, while second-placed Dortmund have opened their campaign with three consecutive victories. Despite that difference, the hosts have won three of their last five matches across all competitions and possess a strong recent head-to-head record in this fixture. Dortmund, however, arrive in outstanding form after five straight wins, scoring 16 goals during that sequence. With both teams producing high-scoring matches and regularly finding the net, this Bundesliga clash has all the ingredients for an open contest.

VfB Stuttgart Recent Form and Key Statistics

VfB Stuttgart are looking to recover from a 2-1 defeat against TSG Hoffenheim on September 12. Their first three Bundesliga matches have brought one victory and two losses, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game. Results including a 1-5 loss against Bayern, a 1-0 victory over Köln and the setback against Hoffenheim illustrate the mixed nature of their start.

The wider recent record is more encouraging. Stuttgart have collected three wins and suffered two defeats in their last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals for and 1.8 against. Those numbers point to considerable attacking output but also underline the defensive issues that have prevented them from building consistency. Only one clean sheet was registered across the six-game sequence described before this fixture.

Goals have been a recurring feature of Stuttgart matches. Their last 16 games have all produced over 1.5 total goals, while each of their previous nine has gone beyond 2.5. In Bundesliga competition, over 1.5 goals has landed in their last 11 fixtures. Stuttgart have also scored at least once in 21 of their previous 22 Bundesliga matches, offering strong evidence of their ability to contribute offensively.

Second-half action is another notable theme. At least one goal after the interval has been scored in Stuttgart's last 22 Bundesliga games and in 30 of their previous 33 matches overall. The same pattern has occurred in each of their last 11 home league fixtures. Stuttgart have also been ahead at half-time in their last three home matches, making the opening stages an important part of their challenge against an in-form opponent.

In terms of availability, Angelot Stiller is doubtful with a knee problem, while Tiago Tomas and Jarzinho Malango are also dealing with injuries. Lorenz Assignon, Nikolas Nartey, Dan-Axel Zadagou, Luca Jasquez, Justin Diehl and goalkeeper Dennis Seimen are listed as unavailable. In attack, Ermedin Demirovic and Dzenan Pecinovic provide Stuttgart with options as they attempt to challenge Dortmund's impressive start.

Borussia Dortmund Recent Form and Key Statistics

Borussia Dortmund travel to Stuttgart after winning 3-0 against Paderborn on September 12. They have won each of their last five matches, averaging an imposing 3.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. Their Bundesliga record is perfect after three rounds, with three victories, an average of 2.7 goals for and 0.7 against.

Dortmund's attacking momentum is particularly striking. They have scored at least three times in each of their last four fixtures and have found the net in 27 of their previous 29 Bundesliga games. Over 1.5 total goals has been recorded in 31 of their last 33 matches overall and in 26 of their previous 28 league encounters. These trends suggest that Dortmund games regularly provide opportunities at both ends of the pitch, even though their recent defensive average has remained low.

Draws have been extremely rare for the visitors. Dortmund have not drawn any of their last 18 matches, while 20 of their previous 21 Bundesliga fixtures have also produced a winner. They have led at half-time in 17 of their last 27 league games, showing how often they establish an advantage before the interval.

Like Stuttgart, Dortmund are associated with frequent second-half goals. Their last 11 away matches have all contained a goal after half-time, with that sequence extending to 13 consecutive away fixtures in the Bundesliga. Across league competition, 26 of their previous 28 games have produced at least one second-half goal.

Giannis Konstantelias is facing a long absence with a cruciate ligament injury, while Emre Can and Filippo Mane are not available. Konstantinos Karetsas has returned to team training, although his involvement in this match is uncertain. At the other end of the pitch, Serhou Guirassy and Fabio Silva have scored four goals each and sit at the top of Dortmund's internal scoring list.

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Match Analysis

The recent meetings between these sides underline how unpredictable the fixture can be. The previous four encounters referenced before this match ended 0-2, 3-3, 2-1 and 5-1, covering everything from a controlled away victory to a high-scoring draw and emphatic home success. Dortmund won the most recent head-to-head 2-0 on April 4, 2026, ending a run of seven matches without a victory against Stuttgart.

The broader head-to-head summary still favors VfB Stuttgart, who have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. That history gives the home side encouragement despite Dortmund's stronger current league position. The supplied win probabilities also show a closely balanced contest, assigning Stuttgart 44%, the draw 22% and Dortmund 34%.

Current form, however, gives Borussia Dortmund a clear source of confidence. Five straight victories and 16 goals during that sequence represent excellent momentum, while Stuttgart have alternated between productive attacking displays and costly defensive performances. The hosts' average of 2.6 goals scored across their last five matches means Dortmund cannot rely solely on their superior start, particularly against a side that has scored in 21 of its last 22 Bundesliga games.

The statistical profile points strongly toward goals. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 68%, while over 2.5 total goals is rated at 69%. Stuttgart's run of nine consecutive matches with at least three goals is especially relevant, as is Dortmund's sequence of four games scoring three or more themselves. With both sides also showing consistent second-half scoring patterns, the match may remain active after the break even if the opening phase is more measured.

Stuttgart's home starts could create an early test for the visitors, given that the hosts have led at half-time in three successive home matches. Dortmund have nevertheless been ahead at the interval in 17 of their last 27 Bundesliga fixtures. The combination of those trends, the attacking records and the rarity of draws in Dortmund's recent schedule makes this an intriguing match in which both teams have statistical reasons to pursue victory.

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 69% probability.