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Prediction published on Jan 16, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Jan 16, 2026 3:01 PM
The Bundesliga returns with an exciting clash as VfB Stuttgart host FC Union Berlin on Sunday, January 18 at 15:30. The match marks the start of the second half of the season, and both sides will be eager to begin the Rückrunde on a positive note. Stuttgart, currently in the upper part of the table, are pushing hard for a Champions League spot, while Union Berlin continue to show their trademark resilience and defensive discipline, approaching this away fixture without major pressure.
VfB Stuttgart have been one of the most consistent teams in the Bundesliga this season. After 17 rounds, they sit in fourth place with 32 points, boasting a record of 10 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. Their attacking style has been particularly impressive, averaging 1.9 goals scored per match while conceding 1.5. The team’s recent form is outstanding — four wins and one draw in their last five games, with an average of 3.0 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per match.
At home, Stuttgart have been a dominant force, combining high pressing with quick transitions. Their latest results underline their momentum: a thrilling 3-2 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt on January 13 followed a statement 4-1 away win at Leverkusen. These performances have strengthened their confidence and confirmed their attacking efficiency.
One of the standout figures has been Deniz Undav, who has rediscovered his scoring touch with 10 goals and 2 assists in 13 appearances. His intelligent movement and finishing make him a constant threat inside the box. On the right flank, Jamie Leweling has provided pace and creativity, while Angelo Stiller continues to orchestrate play from midfield, dictating tempo and ensuring balance between defense and attack.
FC Union Berlin enter this fixture sitting ninth in the Bundesliga with 23 points. Their campaign has been solid, built once again on defensive organization and collective effort. The team’s season record stands at 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Union’s recent results have been mixed. They drew 1-1 away at Augsburg on January 15 after a 2-2 home draw with Mainz, matches that left them slightly frustrated given the opportunities to secure more points. Despite these results, their structure remains compact, and their defensive discipline continues to be their main strength. In their last five matches, Union have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4.
Union Berlin’s approach on the road is pragmatic — they focus on closing spaces, winning duels, and exploiting counterattacks. Their ability to stay organized under pressure makes them a difficult opponent, even for teams in top form like Stuttgart.
This encounter promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. Stuttgart will likely take control of possession and push forward from the start, using their attacking depth to stretch Union’s back line. Their fluid offensive movements and quick passing combinations have been key to their success this season. The home advantage could again play a decisive role, as Stuttgart have shown great consistency in front of their fans.
Union Berlin, on the other hand, will rely on their defensive structure and physical presence to frustrate the hosts. Their compact lines and disciplined pressing could limit Stuttgart’s space in the final third. However, given Stuttgart’s current attacking form and the individual brilliance of players like Undav and Leweling, breaking through Union’s defense seems a realistic prospect.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been competitive, but Stuttgart’s recent dominance and superior attacking numbers suggest they hold the upper hand. Expect a high-intensity game with chances on both ends, especially in the second half, where Stuttgart have consistently found goals.
Considering the data and recent performances, VfB Stuttgart appear well-positioned to continue their winning run. Their attacking rhythm, home advantage, and confidence make them favorites to secure another three points. Union Berlin will remain competitive, but their recent draws and occasional lapses in concentration could prove costly against such an efficient opponent.
VfB Stuttgart vs FC Union Berlin prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 47% probability. The draw (X) stands at 23%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 30%. Additionally, the Over 2.5 goals market shows a 60% likelihood, suggesting an open and entertaining match.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VfB Stuttgart
FC Union Berlin
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
7
3
9
1