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Prediction published on Dec 9, 2025 6:04 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Dec 9, 2025 6:04 PM
VfB Stuttgart will host Maccabi Tel Aviv in one of the early kickoffs of the final Europa League group stage round. The German side approach this clash looking to secure a place among the top eight, while the visitors from Israel are fighting to avoid finishing bottom of the standings. With both teams coming off contrasting domestic results, this encounter promises to be decisive for their European ambitions.
Stuttgart enter this match sitting 12th in the Europa League ranking, having collected nine points from their first five games. Their campaign has been marked by inconsistency, alternating between strong attacking displays and defensive lapses. The 4-0 away victory over Go Ahead Eagles was a statement of intent, but it was quickly followed by a heavy 0-5 home defeat to Bayern Munich on December 6, exposing vulnerabilities at the back.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Stuttgart have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Despite the recent setback, their home form remains a major strength. The Swabians have not drawn any of their last 18 home fixtures, showing a clear tendency for decisive outcomes. Moreover, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten matches, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in all of their last fifteen home games. These trends underline Stuttgart’s attacking intent and the high-scoring nature of their recent performances.
Coach Sebastian Hoeneß will expect a strong reaction from his players after the Bayern defeat. The likes of Serhou Guirassy and Chris Führich will be key in leading the offensive charge, while the defense must tighten up to avoid another high-margin loss. With qualification still within reach, Stuttgart will see this as a must-win fixture to close the group stage on a positive note.
Maccabi Tel Aviv travel to Germany in poor form and low confidence. Their 1-0 defeat to Hapoel Be’er Sheva on December 7 marked their fourth loss in six matches, leaving them second-last in the Europa League standings. Over this stretch, they have managed just one win and one draw, while suffering three defeats. The Israeli side have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game in their last five outings, a worrying defensive record that has cost them dearly both domestically and in Europe.
In the Europa League, Maccabi’s struggles have been even more pronounced. They have lost at half-time in their last four matches and have also trailed at the break in each of their last three away games. Their only point in the group stage came on matchday one against PAOK, and they have scored just once in five matches since. The 6-0 defeat to Lyon in the previous round was particularly damaging, both to their goal difference and morale.
Historically, Maccabi have found it difficult to perform on the road in European competitions. They have failed to score in two of their last three away fixtures and have not drawn in 23 of their last 24 Europa League matches, suggesting that their games tend to produce clear outcomes. Despite their attacking efforts, the team’s defensive frailties and lack of consistency have left them vulnerable against stronger opponents.
This encounter presents a clear contrast between a Stuttgart side that thrives at home and a Maccabi team struggling to find stability. The hosts’ attacking rhythm and home advantage make them favorites, particularly given their record of seven wins in their last eight home matches, four of which came with clean sheets. Their ability to score consistently, combined with Maccabi’s defensive issues, points toward another high-energy performance from the German side.
For Maccabi, the key challenge will be to contain Stuttgart’s offensive pressure and avoid conceding early. Their recent trend of losing at half-time highlights a recurring problem in maintaining concentration during the opening stages. Unless they manage to shore up their defense, the visitors could face another difficult evening in Europe.
From a tactical perspective, Stuttgart’s dynamic attacking play and Maccabi’s leaky defense suggest that goals are likely. The hosts will look to dominate possession and exploit spaces behind the Israeli backline, while Maccabi may rely on counterattacks through quick transitions. However, given their current form, the visitors will need a near-perfect performance to take anything from this match.
The most likely outcome is a VfB Stuttgart win (1) with a 42% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a Maccabi Tel Aviv win (2) stands at 36%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VfB Stuttgart
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
2
8
5
5
4.5
5
5
8
2