The upcoming Bundesliga clash between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Sunday, February 1, this regional derby will once again determine whether football supremacy in the southwest of Germany belongs to Baden or Württemberg. Both teams come into the match after demanding European fixtures, and fatigue could play a role in shaping the outcome. The current standings show Stuttgart in a stronger position, sitting fifth with 36 points, while Freiburg occupy seventh place with 27 points. With both sides eager to consolidate their European ambitions, this encounter could be decisive for their momentum heading into the second half of the season.

VfB Stuttgart’s Recent Form and Key Stats

VfB Stuttgart approach this derby in excellent form, having extended their unbeaten run to six matches across all competitions. Their most recent outing, a thrilling 3-2 victory over Young Boys in the Europa League, showcased their attacking strength but also highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities. In the Bundesliga, Stuttgart have recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The team’s home record has been particularly impressive, with only one defeat in nine matches at their own ground.

Stuttgart’s matches tend to come alive after the break — Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 22 of their last 23 league games, and in 33 of their last 35 across all competitions. Their ability to finish strong has been a key factor in their success, with the team leading at half-time in 7 of their last 11 matches. Offensively, they have been consistent, averaging two goals per game over their last five fixtures. The combination of home advantage and attacking rhythm makes Stuttgart a formidable opponent, especially in front of their fans.

• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 2.0 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Over 0.5 goals in second half: 22 of last 23 Bundesliga matches


• Last head-to-head: 3-1 win on September 13, 2025

With confidence high and the squad relatively stable, Stuttgart will look to maintain their momentum. Their attacking players have been in fine form, and the team’s ability to control games at home could once again prove decisive in this derby.

SC Freiburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats

SC Freiburg enter this match following a narrow 1-0 defeat against LOSC Lille in the Europa League, a result that did not prevent them from advancing in the competition. In the Bundesliga, Freiburg’s record stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their recent form has been mixed — two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings — reflecting a team that remains competitive but inconsistent.

One of Freiburg’s main challenges this season has been their away form. They have lost five of their ten away matches, conceding 21 goals in the process. Defensive lapses have often cost them points, with the team allowing at least two goals in six of their last seven away fixtures. However, they have shown resilience, avoiding defeat at half-time in 18 of their last 20 matches, which suggests they remain organized in the early stages of games. Offensively, Freiburg’s strength lies in their collective effort, with goals spread across multiple players rather than relying on a single striker.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 1.2


• Over 1.5 goals in last 10 Bundesliga matches


• Haven’t lost at half-time in 18 of last 20 matches

Despite their struggles on the road, Freiburg remain a dangerous side capable of punishing defensive errors. Their disciplined approach and ability to stay compact could frustrate Stuttgart, especially if they manage to control the tempo early on. However, their defensive record away from home remains a concern, and they will need to tighten up to avoid another setback.

Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction and Tactical Overview

This derby between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg is expected to deliver intensity and drama, as both teams aim to assert regional dominance. Stuttgart’s attacking flair and home strength contrast with Freiburg’s collective discipline and counter-attacking potential. The hosts have been prolific in front of goal, while the visitors have shown a tendency to concede heavily on their travels. Historically, Stuttgart have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters and averaging nearly three goals per game in those matches.

Given both teams’ recent European commitments, fatigue could influence the rhythm of the game, particularly in the second half. Stuttgart’s ability to score late and Freiburg’s resilience before the break suggest a match that could open up as it progresses. With both sides capable of finding the net, fans can expect an entertaining contest that may hinge on small details and moments of individual brilliance.

Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 55% probability.