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VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | DFB Pokal 23-04-2026

VfB Stuttgart

2 - 1

AET

SC Freiburg

MHPArena
Tobias Welz
scattered clouds 9.66 °C

Prediction published on Apr 21, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Germany - DFB Pokal | Modified on Apr 21, 2026 7:02 PM

The upcoming DFB-Pokal semifinal between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg promises to be a thrilling all-Baden-Württemberg affair. Scheduled for Thursday, April 23, at 20:45, this clash will determine one of the two finalists of the prestigious German cup competition. Both teams have shown strong attacking tendencies throughout the season, and the statistics suggest that fans could be treated to goals from both sides. With Stuttgart’s home strength and Freiburg’s recent surge in form, this encounter is shaping up to be one of the most balanced and exciting fixtures of the tournament.


VfB Stuttgart’s Recent Form and Key Stats


VfB Stuttgart have experienced a rollercoaster of results in recent weeks, alternating between high-scoring wins and tough defeats. Their last five matches have produced two victories and three losses, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Despite the inconsistency, Stuttgart remain a formidable side at home, having lost only to Bayern and Dortmund in their last 15 league outings. In the DFB-Pokal, they have been particularly impressive, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 defeats, averaging 2.5 goals scored and conceding just 0.8 per match.


Stuttgart’s attacking consistency is remarkable — they have scored in each of their last 18 DFB-Pokal matches. Moreover, they have not trailed at half-time in their last 15 cup games and have avoided draws in 22 of their last 23. The team often starts strong, winning at half-time in 8 of their last 11 DFB-Pokal fixtures. Their home record is equally solid, with six first-half leads in their last ten home cup matches. These numbers underline Stuttgart’s ability to impose themselves early and maintain control throughout the game.



  • Last match: Lost 4-2 against Bayern München (April 19, 2026)

  • Average goals scored (DFB-Pokal): 2.5

  • Average goals conceded (DFB-Pokal): 0.8

  • Unbeaten at half-time in last 15 DFB-Pokal matches

  • Over 0.5 second-half goals in 32 of last 35 matches


SC Freiburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats


SC Freiburg enter this semifinal in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their latest victory, a 2-1 triumph over Heidenheim on April 19, highlighted their attacking sharpness and resilience. In the DFB-Pokal, Freiburg’s record mirrors Stuttgart’s in terms of consistency: 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded per match. Their defense has been particularly impressive, keeping things tight while still producing goals at the other end.


Freiburg’s attacking rhythm has been one of their biggest strengths, with goals scored in 19 of their last 20 DFB-Pokal matches. They have also shown great composure in the first half, avoiding defeat before the break in 31 of their last 34 matches. Although their away record previously showed vulnerability, recent performances suggest improvement — they have now won multiple consecutive away fixtures, a sign of growing confidence on the road. However, they still tend to concede, which could make this semifinal an open and entertaining contest.



  • Last match: Won 2-1 against Heidenheim (April 19, 2026)

  • Average goals scored (DFB-Pokal): 1.8

  • Average goals conceded (DFB-Pokal): 0.3

  • Unbeaten at half-time in 31 of last 34 matches

  • Under 0.5 goals in only 4 of last 20 away matches


Stuttgart vs Freiburg Tactical Overview


This semifinal is not only a local derby but also a clash of two teams with contrasting yet complementary strengths. Stuttgart rely on their attacking intensity and home advantage, while Freiburg bring momentum and confidence from a string of recent victories. Both sides have shown a tendency to score and concede, which aligns with the statistical trend pointing toward a high-scoring encounter. The last head-to-head meeting ended 1-0, but given the current form of both teams, a repeat of such a low-scoring result seems unlikely.


Stuttgart’s offensive creativity and Freiburg’s efficiency in front of goal suggest that both teams will find the net. The hosts will look to capitalize on their strong starts, while the visitors will aim to exploit any defensive lapses. With both teams averaging over two goals per game in recent fixtures, this semifinal could deliver an exciting, end-to-end battle that keeps fans on the edge of their seats.



  • Head-to-head record: Stuttgart 3 wins, Freiburg 2 wins

  • Average goals per head-to-head: 3.4

  • Last meeting: Stuttgart 1-0 Freiburg (February 1, 2026)


Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction


All indicators point toward a competitive and open match. Both sides have been prolific in attack and consistent in scoring across their recent fixtures. Stuttgart’s home advantage and Freiburg’s current momentum make this a difficult tie to call, but the data strongly supports the likelihood of goals from both teams. Fans can expect a dynamic and entertaining semifinal where neither side will hold back.


Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg - Predictions

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VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

VfB Stuttgart

SC Freiburg

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

40%

4

60%

6

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg in DFB Pokal

Who will win ?

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg be played?
The DFB Pokal match between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg will be played on April 23, 2026 at 18:45.
Where will VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg be played?
The match between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg will be played at MHPArena, Stuttgart - Germany
Who will referee VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg?
The referee for the match will be Tobias Welz.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg in the DFB Pokal?
The odds are: VfB Stuttgart to win 1.66, draw 4.20, SC Freiburg to win 4.50.
What are the betting odds for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the DFB Pokal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.40.
Will both VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg score in the DFB Pokal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg in the DFB Pokal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg, VfB Stuttgart won 3 times, SC Freiburg won 2, and 0 ended in a draw.

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