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VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Bundesliga 22-11-2025

VfL Wolfsburg

1 - 3

FT

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Volkswagen Arena
R. Hartmann
few clouds 0.32 °C

Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 3:06 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 3:06 PM

The Bundesliga resumes after the international break with an intriguing clash between VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen on Saturday, November 22. The match at the Volkswagen Arena kicks off at 15:30, and it could prove decisive for both teams’ ambitions. Leverkusen, currently fifth in the table, are looking to close the eight-point gap to leaders Bayern Munich, while Wolfsburg, sitting 14th, desperately need to halt their alarming slide down the standings. The visitors have not lost any of their last seven meetings with the Wolves, and their last defeat in Wolfsburg dates back to October 2015 – coincidentally also on matchday eleven, just like this weekend.


VfL Wolfsburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats


It has been a turbulent few weeks for VfL Wolfsburg. After six defeats in their last seven Bundesliga matches, the club parted ways with head coach Paul Simonis, handing interim control to Daniel Bauer. The team’s confidence is at a low point, and defensive frailties have been a recurring issue. In their most recent outing, Wolfsburg fell 2-1 away to Werder Bremen on November 7, conceding twice in the first half. Their overall record this season stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.


Home advantage has not been much of a factor for the Wolves. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 home matches, and there has been at least one first-half goal in all of those games. The same trend continues in the Bundesliga, where over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in their last ten league fixtures. Despite occasional flashes of attacking intent, Wolfsburg’s inability to keep things tight at the back has cost them dearly. Their last three matches have all ended in defeat, with six goals conceded in the two most recent ones. The challenge for Bauer will be to stabilize the defense while reigniting the team’s attacking spark.


Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Bayer 04 Leverkusen enter this fixture in far better shape. The Werkself have won five of their last six matches, scoring an impressive 16 goals in that span. Their only setback came in a 0-3 defeat to Bayern Munich, but they responded emphatically with a 6-0 victory over Heidenheim on November 8. Under their current form, Leverkusen have established themselves as one of the Bundesliga’s most entertaining and efficient attacking sides, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season.


However, there remains one area of concern: Leverkusen have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this campaign. In every away fixture, they have conceded at least one goal before half time. This vulnerability could offer Wolfsburg a glimmer of hope, especially given the home side’s need for a morale-boosting performance. Still, Leverkusen’s offensive consistency is remarkable — they have scored in 20 of their last 21 matches and seen over 1.5 total goals in 20 of those. Their ability to dominate possession and create chances from wide areas has made them a constant threat, regardless of venue.


Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Tactical Overview and Match Analysis


This encounter promises to be an open and entertaining affair. Wolfsburg’s defensive instability meets a Leverkusen side that thrives on attacking momentum. The hosts will likely focus on compactness and quick transitions under interim coach Bauer, hoping to exploit Leverkusen’s occasional lapses at the back. Yet, given the visitors’ firepower, containing them for 90 minutes will be a formidable task.


Historically, Leverkusen have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last seven meetings and winning three of the last five. The previous encounter ended 0-0 in February 2025, but the current form of both sides suggests a more lively contest this time. Wolfsburg’s home record and Leverkusen’s away defensive record both point toward goals at both ends. The Wolves have conceded before half time in their last four home games, while Leverkusen have scored in nearly every match this season. With both teams showing a tendency for early goals, the first half could set the tone for a high-tempo battle.


Leverkusen’s attacking trio has been in excellent form, combining pace, creativity, and finishing precision. Meanwhile, Wolfsburg will rely heavily on their forwards to capitalize on any defensive errors from the visitors. The psychological impact of a coaching change could also inject short-term energy into the home side, making this a potentially unpredictable fixture.


BetMines Prediction: Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen


The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 53% probability. Given Leverkusen’s attacking consistency and Wolfsburg’s defensive struggles, goals on both sides appear highly probable in this Bundesliga clash.

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Predictions

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VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

VfL Wolfsburg

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen in Bundesliga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

34

17

8

9

68:47

59

1.74

L
W
W
L
D
16

VfL Wolfsburg

34

7

8

19

45:69

29

0.85

W
D
D
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Frequently asked questions

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When will VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen be played?
The Bundesliga match between VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be played on November 22, 2025 at 14:30.
Where will VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen be played?
The match between VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be played at Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg - Germany
Who will referee VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
The referee for the match will be R. Hartmann.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the Bundesliga?
The odds are: VfL Wolfsburg to win 3.70, draw 3.80, Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 1.90.
What are the betting odds for VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Bundesliga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.57 and Under 2.5 at 2.37.
Will both VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen score in the Bundesliga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.50, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.50.
What is the most likely correct score for VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the Bundesliga?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, VfL Wolfsburg won 0 times, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3, and 2 ended in a draw.

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