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VfL Wolfsburg
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FC Bayern München
Prediction published on May 7, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on May 7, 2026 5:01 PM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern München on May 9 promises to be an intriguing encounter. The home side will be eager to build on their recent improvement, while the reigning champions arrive determined to reaffirm their dominance after a few mixed results. With both teams showing contrasting forms and ambitions, this fixture could offer plenty of attacking moments and tactical battles worth watching.
VfL Wolfsburg have shown signs of recovery in recent weeks, managing to stabilize their performances after a difficult season. Their latest 1-1 draw against SC Freiburg on May 3 extended their unbeaten run to three matches, a small but important step in their fight to move away from the relegation zone. Currently sitting 16th in the Bundesliga, the Wolves have recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats this season, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match.
Defensively, however, the team continues to struggle. They have conceded at least one goal in 24 of their last 25 matches, including 19 of their last 20 home games. This persistent vulnerability at the back has often undermined their attacking efforts. On the positive side, Wolfsburg’s matches tend to be lively affairs, with over 7.5 corners recorded in 22 of their last 23 Bundesliga fixtures — a sign of their willingness to push forward and create chances.
Despite their defensive issues, Wolfsburg’s recent resilience and improved organization suggest they could make life difficult for their visitors, especially if they maintain their current level of intensity and discipline.
FC Bayern München approach this match as clear favorites, having dominated the Bundesliga throughout the season. They currently top the table with 26 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat, boasting an impressive average of 3.6 goals scored and only 1.1 conceded per game. Their most recent outing, a 1-1 draw against Paris Saint-Germain on May 6, highlighted both their attacking potential and occasional defensive lapses.
The Bavarians have been remarkably consistent in front of goal, scoring in each of their last 40 matches across all competitions. In the Bundesliga, they have found the net in 25 consecutive games, with over 2.5 total goals in 24 of their last 25 league fixtures. Away from home, Bayern’s attacking power remains relentless — they have scored at least twice in 20 of their last 22 away matches, with over 1.5 goals in all of them.
Even though Bayern have occasionally struggled to control games defensively, their offensive firepower remains unmatched. Their ability to score multiple goals in nearly every outing makes them a constant threat, regardless of the opponent or venue.
This fixture pits a struggling but improving Wolfsburg side against a dominant Bayern München team that rarely fails to deliver in attack. Historically, this matchup has been one-sided — Bayern have won each of the last five head-to-head meetings, including a commanding 8-1 victory earlier this year. The gap in quality and consistency remains significant, but Wolfsburg’s recent defensive adjustments could help them avoid another heavy defeat.
Expect Bayern to control possession and create numerous chances, while Wolfsburg may look to exploit counterattacks and set pieces. Given the attacking trends of both teams, goals are likely, particularly considering Bayern’s record of high-scoring matches and Wolfsburg’s defensive fragility.
Ultimately, the momentum, statistics, and historical dominance all point toward another strong performance from the league leaders. Wolfsburg’s best hope lies in maintaining compactness and capitalizing on rare opportunities, but Bayern’s offensive rhythm and depth make them overwhelming favorites.
BetMines Prediction: FC Bayern München win (2) with a probability of 71%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern München
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
8
2
3
7
4.5
9
1
3
7