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Prediction published on Oct 25, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 25, 2026 7:03 PM
Vicenza host Modena at Stadio Romeo Menti on Tuesday, October 27, in the ninth round of Serie B. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 local time. The teams arrive with contrasting league records: Vicenza are 13th after two wins, three draws and three defeats, while third-placed Modena have taken 16 points from five wins, one draw and two losses. The hosts have gained encouragement from two positive away results, but Modena travel to Vicenza after a convincing win of their own. Their recent scoring records make this an intriguing match preview, even if the teams’ previous meetings tell a more restrained story.
Vicenza have responded to a difficult spell with a 2-2 draw at Benevento and a 2-0 victory away to Empoli on October 23. Those results have lifted them out of the relegation places and given them momentum before returning home. Their season has not yet matched the expectations that followed a dominant campaign in Serie C, however: across their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats.
The numbers help explain Vicenza’s uneven start. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per Serie B match this season; over their most recent five games, those figures are 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Their defence has looked vulnerable despite the presence of experienced goalkeeper Gagno, who established himself at Modena. Vicenza did keep a clean sheet at Empoli, offering a useful contrast to their wider defensive record.
Goals have featured consistently in the hosts’ fixtures: at least two total goals have been scored in each of Vicenza’s last 11 matches. That run concerns goals by both teams combined, not goals scored by Vicenza alone. Against a Modena side with a stronger season scoring average, the hosts will be looking to build on their performance at Empoli without allowing their earlier defensive problems to return.
Modena come into the fixture in third place after beating Cesena 3-0 on October 24. It was a strong response to their preceding 2-1 defeat against Carrarese and adds to the optimism surrounding their start to the campaign. Modena have won three of their last five matches, drawing one and losing one, while averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across that stretch.
For the season as a whole, Modena have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per Serie B game. Belotti has contributed five goals in his last four matches, giving the visitors a clear source of recent attacking production. The win over Cesena showed their ability to recover from a setback, though the trip to Vicenza brings a different challenge from playing at home.
Modena’s match statistics point to frequent first-half goals without necessarily showing first-half control by the visitors. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in their last 13 away matches and in 12 consecutive away Serie B fixtures. The same has happened in 23 of their last 25 matches overall. Yet Modena have trailed at half-time in seven of their last 10 away Serie B matches. An early goal has been common in their games, but it has not always gone their way.
The current league picture favours Modena: they sit 10 places above Vicenza, have won three of their last five games to the hosts’ one, and hold the better season records at both ends of the pitch. Vicenza’s draw at Benevento and win at Empoli nevertheless show why the visitors cannot rely on league position alone. The hosts have taken four points from those two trips and now have a home fixture in which to continue that recovery.
The head-to-head record offers another caution against judging this contest purely on recent form. The supplied summary gives Vicenza four wins and one draw across five meetings with Modena, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded. Their most recent meeting, on January 22, 2020, finished 1-0. Those results point to a very different pattern from Vicenza’s recent run of matches featuring at least two goals, making the contrast between past meetings and current form central to this preview.
Modena’s recent 3-0 win and Vicenza’s 2-2 draw at Benevento demonstrate the scoring potential on either side, while the hosts’ 2-0 win at Empoli and the low-scoring head-to-head history leave room for a tighter contest. With Vicenza trying to make their recent improvement count and Modena seeking to sustain a stronger league campaign, the balance between those competing trends is the key question at Stadio Romeo Menti.
Vicenza vs Modena prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vicenza
Modena
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2