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Víkingur Reykjavík
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Borac Banja Luka
Prediction published on Aug 18, 2026 5:06 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Aug 18, 2026 5:06 PM
Víkingur Reykjavík host Borac Banja Luka on August 20, 2026, in the first leg of their Europa Conference League play-off. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time at Víkingsvöllur in Reykjavík. Both clubs began their continental campaigns in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers before moving into other European competitions, and this tie now offers them another opportunity to pursue a place in the Europa Conference League league phase. The teams have met once before, with Víkingur Reykjavík earning a 2-0 victory on November 7, 2024. That result, together with the hosts' long unbeaten sequence at home, provides an important backdrop to the opening leg.
Víkingur Reykjavík enter the contest after a 4-2 victory away to FH on August 16. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while also conceding 2.2. Those figures point to an eventful recent run in which their attacking production has been matched by defensive vulnerability.
The home side previously competed in the UEFA Champions League and Europa League qualifiers during this European campaign. In the Europa League third qualifying round, they faced Thun and won the second leg 3-2 at home. However, that victory could not reverse the damage from the opening match, leaving Víkingur Reykjavík eliminated by a 5-3 aggregate score. Their focus therefore moves to the Europa Conference League play-offs and the objective of reaching the league phase again after the 2024-25 season.
Home form is the strongest part of the case for Víkingur Reykjavík. They are unbeaten in their last 17 home matches and have scored at least once in each of their previous 18 fixtures on their own ground. The available information also shows that they won each of their last three European home games. These sequences suggest that Borac Banja Luka will need to withstand consistent pressure from a team that has repeatedly found a way to score in front of its home support.
There are also clear timing and total-goals patterns in Víkingur Reykjavík's results. Their last 10 matches have all produced more than 1.5 total goals, while at least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their previous 29 games. The same second-half trend has appeared in their last 12 home fixtures. In Europa Conference League action, Víkingur Reykjavík have avoided going into the interval behind in 19 of their last 21 matches.
Borac Banja Luka arrive after a 1-0 defeat against ML Vitebsk on August 13. Even so, their wider five-match record remains positive, featuring three victories, one draw and one loss. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match over that period, giving the visitors a stronger recent defensive average than their opponents.
The away side also began its European journey in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers. Borac Banja Luka were eliminated in the first qualifying round after losing 5-1 on aggregate to Levski, which moved them into the Europa Conference League qualification path. Their record in this season's competition stands at two wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
That single Europa Conference League qualifying defeat came against ML Vitebsk, who won 1-0 in regulation time. Borac Banja Luka have therefore lost only one of their last four qualifying matches in the tournament. Another notable pattern concerns their first-half resilience: the visitors have not been behind at half-time in 37 of their previous 40 matches. This makes the opening phase particularly significant, as Víkingur Reykjavík also carry a strong record of avoiding a half-time deficit in this competition.
Borac Banja Luka will nevertheless have to improve on their only previous encounter with the Icelandic side. The 2-0 defeat in November 2024 means that their head-to-head record against Víkingur Reykjavík consists of one loss, no goals scored and two conceded. The sample contains only one game, but it gives the hosts the psychological advantage of having already won this matchup without conceding.
The available data places Víkingur Reykjavík ahead of their visitors for this first leg. The stated win probabilities give the hosts a 57% chance of victory, compared with 24% for a draw and 20% for a Borac Banja Luka win. The decimal odds reflect the same assessment, with a home victory priced at 1.61, the draw at 4.00 and an away win at 4.50.
The hosts' advantage is built primarily on their results at Víkingsvöllur. An unbeaten run of 17 home matches, goals in 18 consecutive home fixtures and three straight European home victories form a strong statistical foundation. Their recent 4-2 win also demonstrates their ability to produce goals, although an average of 2.2 conceded across the last five games shows why the first leg may not be straightforward.
Borac Banja Luka can point to three wins in their last five outings, a season average of only 1.0 goal conceded in the Europa Conference League and an excellent record of staying level or ahead at half-time. These figures indicate that the visitors have the capacity to remain competitive, especially during the early stages. However, their latest 1-0 loss and the previous 2-0 head-to-head defeat underline the challenge presented by this trip.
The goals markets are evenly balanced in the supplied probabilities: both teams to score is rated at 50% for both outcomes, while over and under 2.5 goals are also split at 50%. The more consistent signal comes from Víkingur Reykjavík's match history, with more than 1.5 total goals in 10 consecutive games and second-half scoring in 29 straight fixtures. The home side's scoring streak and superior match-win probability ultimately give them the clearer edge, even if Borac Banja Luka's first-half stability could keep the contest close for a significant period.
Víkingur Reykjavík vs Borac Banja Luka prediction from BetMines: Víkingur Reykjavík win (1) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Víkingur Reykjavík
Borac Banja Luka
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
3
7
5
5
4.5
8
2
9
1