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Víkingur Reykjavík
5:30 PM
August 13, 2026
Thun
Prediction published on Aug 11, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Aug 11, 2026 6:03 PM
Víkingur Reykjavík host Thun on Thursday, August 13, 2026, in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League third qualifying-round tie. The Icelandic side must overturn a 3-0 first-leg deficit after Thun took control of the contest on August 6. A place in the play-off round is at stake, where the winners will face the successful side from the tie between Lech Poznan and Ki, while the losers will move into the league phase of the UEFA Conference League. Víkingur therefore enter this match requiring an emphatic response: anything short of a victory by at least three goals will not be enough to keep the tie alive beyond normal time. Although the size of the deficit creates a difficult task, their long unbeaten sequence at home offers encouragement. Thun hold a substantial advantage, but their recent away results suggest that the second leg may still present challenges.
Víkingur Reykjavík prepared for this decisive fixture with a 2-2 draw against ÍBV on August 9. Their last five matches have produced one victory, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. That run includes the 2-0 European defeat against Hapoel Beer Sheva and the 3-0 loss to Thun in the opening leg of this round. Their Europa League record currently stands at one defeat from one match, with no goals scored and three conceded.
The strongest argument in Víkingur’s favour is their performance on home soil. The Vikes have not lost in their last 16 home matches, while the supplied record also shows nine victories and one draw across their previous ten competitive home fixtures. They have scored at least once in each of their last 18 home games, demonstrating the consistency required to begin putting pressure on Thun’s advantage.
The broader scoring trends also point towards an active contest. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 34 of Víkingur’s last 35 matches, and there has been at least one second-half goal in each of their previous 27 games. The same second-half pattern has appeared in their last 11 home fixtures. Furthermore, more than 7.5 corners have been taken in 27 of their last 29 matches. Those numbers fit the situation facing the hosts, who cannot afford a cautious approach while chasing three unanswered goals.
Thun travel with the protection of their commanding first-leg lead, but their latest domestic result interrupted the momentum created by that victory. The Red and Whites lost 4-2 against Basel on August 9, which was their third defeat in four matches when an extra-time loss in UEFA Champions League qualifying is included. Across their latest five games, Thun have registered two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match but conceding 2.6.
Their Europa League statistics are much stronger because they are based on the 3-0 first-leg success: one win from one game, an average of three goals scored and none conceded. Thun have also seen over 1.5 total goals in each of their last ten matches, while 31 of their previous 34 fixtures have contained at least one second-half goal.
However, their record away from home provides the principal warning before this trip. Thun have suffered six defeats in their last eight away matches, including the recent loss at Basel. They do not need to chase the game in Reykjavík, but protecting the aggregate score may become more complicated if Víkingur extend their long home scoring sequence and find an early breakthrough.
The central question in this UEFA Europa League qualifier is whether Víkingur Reykjavík can translate their excellent home record into the large winning margin required. The first leg established Thun as the clear leaders of the tie, with the 3-0 score also representing the only previous head-to-head meeting between the teams. Víkingur must now improve dramatically on an attacking return of zero goals in their opening Europa League match.
The match situation leaves little room for patience from the hosts. They need to attack in search of a big victory, but committing more players to that objective could provide opportunities for Thun. An away goal would make Víkingur’s assignment even more demanding, so the home side must balance sustained attacking pressure with the need to avoid giving Thun an easy route into the contest.
Several statistical trends support the prospect of meaningful action after the interval. Both teams have repeatedly featured in matches containing second-half goals, while Víkingur’s home fixtures have maintained that pattern in 11 consecutive games. The hosts’ sequence of scoring in 18 straight home matches is particularly relevant, although turning one goal into the three-goal margin needed to extend the tie is a much greater challenge.
Thun can approach the match with a strong aggregate cushion, yet their six defeats from eight recent trips prevent the second leg from looking straightforward. Víkingur’s 16-match unbeaten home run contrasts sharply with the visitors’ travel record and gives the Icelandic team a credible foundation for an improved performance. Even so, the hosts must overcome both a recent four-match winless sequence and a three-goal disadvantage. The resulting contest should be shaped by Víkingur’s urgency, Thun’s attempt to manage their lead and the possibility that the game becomes increasingly open as the second half develops.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Víkingur Reykjavík
Thun
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3