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Vila Nova vs Avaí Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie B 17-05-2026

Vila Nova

2 - 0

FT

Avaí

Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento
overcast clouds °C

Prediction published on May 15, 2026 12:04 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on May 15, 2026 12:04 PM

The upcoming clash between Vila Nova and Avaí promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 9th round in the Brazilian Série B. Scheduled for Sunday, May 17, 2026, the match will take place at the Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga Stadium, with live coverage on Disney+ and ESPN. Despite being separated by only three points in the standings, both sides approach this encounter with very different ambitions: while the hosts aim to close in on the top four, the visitors are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. With both teams showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, fans can expect a lively and competitive contest.


Vila Nova’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Vila Nova enter this round after a tough week that saw them eliminated from the Copa Verde. Despite fielding their main squad, they were held to a 1-1 draw by Anápolis and lost on penalties, a result that left their supporters disappointed. In the Série B, the team also suffered a setback in the local derby against Goiás, increasing the pressure to bounce back at home this weekend.


However, the numbers show that Vila Nova remain a formidable force at home. The team has not lost in their last 15 home matches in Série B, scoring at least once in each of them. Their season record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Over the last five matches, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss, maintaining a balanced scoring rate of 1.4 goals per match while conceding the same number.



  • Unbeaten in 15 consecutive home games in Série B.

  • At least one goal scored in each of their last 15 home fixtures.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 25 of their last 26 Série B matches.

  • Last head-to-head against Avaí ended 2-2 on November 8, 2025.


These figures underline Vila Nova’s consistency and attacking reliability, particularly in front of their fans. The challenge now is to convert their home dominance into a much-needed victory to stay within reach of the promotion zone.


Avaí’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Avaí travel more than 1,500 kilometers for this encounter, hoping to build on their recent performances. The team drew 0-0 against Fortaleza on May 10, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to three matches. Their overall record in the Série B shows 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Over the last five fixtures, they have achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss, demonstrating a balanced approach between attack and defense.


Despite their mid-table position (12th), Avaí have shown resilience and the ability to adapt to different match situations. However, their offensive output has been inconsistent, with under 0.5 goals scored in three of their last ten Série B matches. This suggests that while they can be solid defensively, they sometimes struggle to find the net against well-organized opponents.



  • Currently ranked 12th in Série B.

  • Average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in their last five matches.

  • Three goalless performances in their last ten league games.

  • Head-to-head record vs Vila Nova: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat.


For Avaí, this match represents an opportunity to prove their attacking potential against one of the strongest home sides in the division. A positive result away from home would not only boost their confidence but also help them climb closer to the top half of the table.


Vila Nova vs Avaí Tactical Overview and Prediction


Both teams come into this fixture with similar recent trends: solid performances mixed with occasional defensive lapses. Vila Nova will rely heavily on their home advantage and attacking consistency, while Avaí are expected to adopt a more cautious approach, looking to exploit spaces on the counterattack. Given that both sides have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, another open and entertaining game is anticipated.


Historically, encounters between these two teams have been balanced, with their last meeting ending in a 2-2 draw. The statistics suggest that both have the capacity to score, but also the tendency to concede. With Vila Nova’s strong home record and Avaí’s recent improvement, this fixture could once again deliver goals on both sides.


According to the latest probabilities, the win chances are distributed as follows: Vila Nova 51%, Draw 27%, and Avaí 22%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 49%, while the Under 2.5 goals market is slightly favored at 51%. These numbers reflect just how finely balanced this contest is expected to be.


In conclusion, the match between Vila Nova and Avaí should offer a competitive and dynamic spectacle. The hosts will aim to extend their unbeaten home run, while the visitors seek to prove their resilience on the road. With both sides showing attacking intent, a goal-filled encounter seems likely.


Vila Nova vs Avaí prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 49% probability.

Vila Nova vs Avaí - Predictions

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Vila Nova vs Avaí: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Vila Nova

Avaí

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Vila Nova and Avaí in Serie B

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Vila Nova

19

10

4

5

27:22

34

1.79

L
W
L
L
W
17

Avaí

19

5

5

9

21:26

20

1.05

L
L
W
D
W
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Vila Nova vs Avaí: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Vila Nova vs Avaí be played?
The Serie B match between Vila Nova and Avaí will be played on May 17, 2026 at 21:00.
Where will Vila Nova vs Avaí be played?
The match between Vila Nova and Avaí will be played at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia - Brazil
Who will referee Vila Nova vs Avaí?
The referee for the match will be André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Vila Nova vs Avaí in the Serie B?
The odds are: Vila Nova to win 2.20, draw 3.20, Avaí to win 3.30.
What are the betting odds for Vila Nova vs Avaí for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie B?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.70.
Will both Vila Nova and Avaí score in the Serie B?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.83, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.83.
What is the most likely correct score for Vila Nova vs Avaí in the Serie B?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Vila Nova and Avaí?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Vila Nova and Avaí, Vila Nova won 1 times, Avaí won 1, and 3 ended in a draw.

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