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Vila Nova
2 - 0
FT
Avaí
Prediction published on May 15, 2026 12:04 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on May 15, 2026 12:04 PM
The upcoming clash between Vila Nova and Avaí promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 9th round in the Brazilian Série B. Scheduled for Sunday, May 17, 2026, the match will take place at the Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga Stadium, with live coverage on Disney+ and ESPN. Despite being separated by only three points in the standings, both sides approach this encounter with very different ambitions: while the hosts aim to close in on the top four, the visitors are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. With both teams showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, fans can expect a lively and competitive contest.
Vila Nova enter this round after a tough week that saw them eliminated from the Copa Verde. Despite fielding their main squad, they were held to a 1-1 draw by Anápolis and lost on penalties, a result that left their supporters disappointed. In the Série B, the team also suffered a setback in the local derby against Goiás, increasing the pressure to bounce back at home this weekend.
However, the numbers show that Vila Nova remain a formidable force at home. The team has not lost in their last 15 home matches in Série B, scoring at least once in each of them. Their season record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Over the last five matches, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss, maintaining a balanced scoring rate of 1.4 goals per match while conceding the same number.
These figures underline Vila Nova’s consistency and attacking reliability, particularly in front of their fans. The challenge now is to convert their home dominance into a much-needed victory to stay within reach of the promotion zone.
Avaí travel more than 1,500 kilometers for this encounter, hoping to build on their recent performances. The team drew 0-0 against Fortaleza on May 10, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to three matches. Their overall record in the Série B shows 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Over the last five fixtures, they have achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss, demonstrating a balanced approach between attack and defense.
Despite their mid-table position (12th), Avaí have shown resilience and the ability to adapt to different match situations. However, their offensive output has been inconsistent, with under 0.5 goals scored in three of their last ten Série B matches. This suggests that while they can be solid defensively, they sometimes struggle to find the net against well-organized opponents.
For Avaí, this match represents an opportunity to prove their attacking potential against one of the strongest home sides in the division. A positive result away from home would not only boost their confidence but also help them climb closer to the top half of the table.
Both teams come into this fixture with similar recent trends: solid performances mixed with occasional defensive lapses. Vila Nova will rely heavily on their home advantage and attacking consistency, while Avaí are expected to adopt a more cautious approach, looking to exploit spaces on the counterattack. Given that both sides have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, another open and entertaining game is anticipated.
Historically, encounters between these two teams have been balanced, with their last meeting ending in a 2-2 draw. The statistics suggest that both have the capacity to score, but also the tendency to concede. With Vila Nova’s strong home record and Avaí’s recent improvement, this fixture could once again deliver goals on both sides.
According to the latest probabilities, the win chances are distributed as follows: Vila Nova 51%, Draw 27%, and Avaí 22%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 49%, while the Under 2.5 goals market is slightly favored at 51%. These numbers reflect just how finely balanced this contest is expected to be.
In conclusion, the match between Vila Nova and Avaí should offer a competitive and dynamic spectacle. The hosts will aim to extend their unbeaten home run, while the visitors seek to prove their resilience on the road. With both sides showing attacking intent, a goal-filled encounter seems likely.
Vila Nova vs Avaí prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vila Nova
Avaí
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1