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Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 9:04 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 9:04 PM
The upcoming LaLiga clash between Villarreal and Mallorca promises a fascinating encounter between two sides living very different moments in the season. The Yellow Submarine are enjoying one of their best runs of form in recent years, sitting third in the table and just five points behind leaders Real Madrid. Their consistency and attacking power have made them one of the most reliable teams in the competition. Meanwhile, Mallorca travel to Castellón with the aim of extending their positive momentum after a much-needed victory before the international break, but their away record remains a major concern.
Villarreal are currently in excellent shape, combining efficiency in front of goal with defensive solidity. The team have recorded three consecutive league wins, scoring eight goals and keeping three clean sheets in the process. Their home record at the Estadio de la Cerámica is particularly impressive, with five wins and one draw from six matches. This consistency has been the foundation of their climb up the table, as they continue to chase a Champions League spot.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Villarreal have achieved four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.8 goals scored and conceding just 0.2 per game. Their recent victories include a 0-2 win away at Espanyol and a dominant 4-0 triumph over Rayo Vallecano. Even their only setback, a narrow 1-0 loss to Pafos in the Champions League, did little to dent their confidence. The team’s attacking rhythm has been complemented by a defense that has not conceded in the last three league fixtures.
At home, Villarreal have been particularly strong in the first half, leading at the break in seven of their last ten LaLiga home games. They have also seen Over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last eleven league matches, showing their ability to maintain intensity throughout the game. Coach Marcelino will, however, have to deal with several absences due to injury: Logan Costa, Solomon, Mikautadze, Pau Cabañes, and Kambwala are all unavailable.
The expected starting lineup for Villarreal could feature Luiz Junior in goal; Mouriño, Foyth, Renato Veiga, and Sergi Cardona in defense; Comesaña and Gueye in midfield; with Pépé, Buchanan, Moleiro, and Ayoze Pérez forming the attacking unit. This combination offers both creativity and pace, ideal for breaking down Mallorca’s compact defensive structure.
Mallorca arrive in Castellón after a morale-boosting 1-0 win over Getafe, a result that lifted them out of the relegation zone. Despite that victory, their overall campaign has been inconsistent, with three wins, three draws, and six defeats so far. The Balearic side have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, reflecting their struggles to find balance between attack and defense.
One of Mallorca’s biggest weaknesses has been their away form. They have lost five of their six away games this season, with their only success coming in a surprising 3-2 win at Sevilla. In their last three away league matches, they have been behind at half time each time, underlining their difficulties in starting games strongly on the road. Historically, Mallorca’s matches tend to be low-scoring, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in 25 of their last 27 league fixtures.
Coach Jagoba Arrasate will be without Leo Román, Kumbulla, and Toni Lato due to injuries. The likely starting eleven should include Bergstrom in goal; Maffeo, Valjent, Saíllo, and Mojica at the back; Morlanes and Samú Costa in midfield; with Asano, Pablo Torre, and Darder supporting striker Muriqi. The Kosovan forward remains Mallorca’s main attacking reference, but he will need more support if the visitors are to trouble Villarreal’s defense.
When these two sides met earlier this year, Villarreal cruised to a 4-0 victory, and the current form suggests a similar pattern could emerge. The hosts are in far better shape both statistically and mentally, while Mallorca continue to struggle away from home. Villarreal’s attacking depth, combined with their strong defensive record, makes them clear favorites to claim another three points.
From a tactical perspective, Villarreal’s high pressing and quick transitions have been key to their recent success. Their ability to dominate possession and create chances from wide areas could prove decisive against a Mallorca side that often defends deep and relies on counterattacks. The visitors will likely focus on staying compact and exploiting set pieces, but their defensive lapses on the road could be costly once again.
Given the current dynamics, Villarreal’s home advantage and superior form make them the logical pick to continue their winning streak. Mallorca’s resilience might keep the scoreline respectable, but the hosts’ quality should ultimately prevail.
VILLARREAL (4-2-3-1): Luiz Junior; Mouriño, Foyth, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona; Comesaña, Gueye; Pépé, Buchanan, Moleiro; Ayoze Pérez. Coach: Marcelino
MALLORCA (4-2-3-1): Bergstrom; Maffeo, Valjent, Saíllo, Mojica; Morlanes, Samú Costa; Asano, Pablo Torre, Darder; Muriqi. Coach: Jagoba Arrasate
Villarreal vs Mallorca prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Villarreal win (1) with a 59% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Mallorca win (2) stands at 17%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Villarreal
Mallorca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0