Tools
Prediction published on Apr 18, 2025 10:16 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 18, 2025 10:57 AM
At the Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal and Real Sociedad go head-to-head on Matchday 32 of La Liga, both aiming to secure a spot in next season’s European competitions. The Yellow Submarine has the upper hand at the moment, especially after last Sunday’s crucial victory against Real Betis, which lifted them to 5th place, the final spot for a Champions League berth. Marcelino’s men also have a game in hand—the one postponed due to bad weather against Espanyol. A win against Real Sociedad would significantly boost Villarreal’s chances of improving on last season’s 8th-place finish, and perhaps rekindling the magic of three years ago when they reached the Champions League semifinals against Liverpool. As for La Real, they approach this game with the same goal: three points to stay in the race for Europe. To do that, Imanol Alguacil’s side must quickly bounce back from a disappointing loss to Mallorca in their direct clash for 8th place. The Estadio de la Cerámica is never an easy place to play, and failure to qualify for European competitions—which has been a consistent achievement over the last five seasons—would be a significant blow for the Basque club, both financially and in terms of prestige.
Villarreal are enjoying a solid run of form under Marcelino, with a three-match unbeaten streak in La Liga consisting of two wins and a draw. Their most recent win was a vital 2-1 victory over Real Betis, thanks to goals from strikers Barry and Perez.
After 30 matches, the Yellow Submarine has collected 51 points, with a record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses. Interestingly, they've been more effective away from home (30 points) than at home (21 points), and their last home win dates back to February 1st (5-1 vs Valladolid). Villarreal boast one of the league’s top attacking records with 50 goals scored (1.77 per game), but also concede quite a bit, with 40 goals allowed (1.33 per game).
After back-to-back wins over Valladolid and Las Palmas, Real Sociedad suffered a setback, losing 2-0 to Mallorca. Still, they remain in the hunt for Europe, currently sitting on 41 points (12 wins, 5 draws, 14 losses).
Despite their place in the standings, Real Sociedad have the third-worst attack in La Liga with only 30 goals scored (0.97 per game). However, they do have a solid defensive foundation, having conceded just 34 goals so far. That said, the defense has shown cracks lately—Alguacil’s side has conceded in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Despite recent head-to-head results slightly favoring the Basques, Villarreal are the favorites heading into this crucial La Liga Matchday 32 clash. Marcelino’s side is unbeaten in three games, with both Perez and Barry scoring twice in their last three appearances.
While it’s true that Villarreal haven’t won at home in over two and a half months, they face a Real Sociedad team that struggles to score and has lost 6 of their last 10 away matches. Moreover, Zubimendi’s suspension is a major blow for the visitors, as he serves as the team’s tactical brain and midfield anchor.
Given all that, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Villarreal vs Real Sociedad leans toward the home side, who could strengthen their grip on 5th place with a win.
Villarreal (4-4-2): Junior; Femenía, Foyth, Costa, Cardona; Pino, Comesaña, Parejo, Gueye; Barry, Perez.
Manager: Marcelino
Real Sociedad (4-3-3): Remiro; Aramburu, Elustondo, Martín, Muñoz; Susic, Turrientes, Marín; Kubo, Oyarzabal, Gómez. Manager: Alguacil
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3