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Prediction published on Sep 29, 2025 9:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Sep 29, 2025 9:10 PM
The midweek round of Serie B brings an important clash at the Comunale di Chiavari on Tuesday, September 30, where Virtus Entella host Bari in a battle between two struggling sides. Both teams are in the lower part of the table and desperately need points to climb away from the relegation zone. Entella started the season positively with five points from their first three games, but back-to-back defeats against Padova and Avellino have slowed their momentum. Bari, meanwhile, remain winless and are under heavy pressure from their supporters after another disappointing draw against bottom-placed Sampdoria last weekend.
Virtus Entella currently sit 14th in Serie B with a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. Their last outing ended in a 2-0 loss away at Avellino on September 27. Despite these setbacks, Entella’s home form remains their biggest strength. The Chiavari side have not lost at home since September 2024, boasting an impressive run of 18 consecutive unbeaten home matches. Even more remarkable, they have avoided defeat in 37 of their last 39 games overall, underlining their resilience.
Statistically, Entella average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Their attack has been modest, with only 4 goals scored in 5 matches, but they have shown consistency in finding the net, scoring at least once in 30 of their last 32 fixtures. Defensively, they tend to keep games tight, with under 1.5 goals at half-time in each of their last 10 matches. At home, they often start strong, having led at half-time in 9 of their last 15 games at the Comunale.
Bari find themselves in deep trouble, sitting 18th in the table with just 2 points from 5 matches. Their season record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. The Apulian side have struggled both offensively and defensively, averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.8 goals on average. Their most recent result was a 1-1 home draw against Sampdoria on September 27, a match that further highlighted their inability to secure victories.
In their last five matches, Bari have failed to win, recording 2 draws and 3 losses. Their attack has been blunt, with just 2 goals scored all season, while their defense has been leaky, conceding 9 goals in total. Away from home, the Galletti have shown little sign of improvement, and their lack of identity and confidence has left them vulnerable. The pressure from fans is mounting, and unless results improve quickly, their campaign could spiral further downwards.
This encounter brings together two sides with clear attacking limitations. Entella have scored only 4 goals so far, while Bari have managed just 2. Matches between these teams have historically been low-scoring, with their last head-to-head in April 2018 ending 1-0 in Entella’s favor. In fact, across their last five meetings, Entella have won 3, drawn 1, and lost just once, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded against Bari.
Given Entella’s formidable home record and Bari’s ongoing crisis, the hosts enter this match as clear favorites. The Chiavari side’s ability to remain unbeaten at home for over a year provides them with a psychological edge, while Bari’s lack of victories and poor defensive record suggest they will struggle once again. However, considering both teams’ weak attacking output, this is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair.
Overall, the balance of form, statistics, and head-to-head history points towards Virtus Entella having the upper hand in this clash. Bari will need a major turnaround in performance to avoid another setback.
Virtus Entella vs Bari prediction by BetMines:
The recommended pick is Home Win (1) with a probability of 51%. The draw stands at 28%, while an away win for Bari is given just 21%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Virtus Entella
Bari 1908
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2