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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 2:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 2:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Virtus Entella and Calcio Padova promises to be a tense and decisive encounter for both sides. Scheduled for Saturday, April 25, this match could significantly influence their respective fates in the league. Entella, currently sitting 16th with 36 points, are fighting to escape the playout zone, while Padova, 13th with 40 points, aim to secure safety well before the final rounds. Both teams have shown contrasting forms in recent weeks, and the stakes could not be higher as they meet in Chiavari.
Virtus Entella approach this fixture with a clear objective: to climb out of the relegation zone. Their recent 1-1 draw against Empoli on April 19 highlighted their resilience, but consistency remains an issue. Over their last five matches, Entella have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their season record in Serie B stands at 8 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
At home, Entella have been relatively competitive, often managing to keep games tight. Notably, Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in each of their last 15 home matches, showing that their games tend to open up after the break. However, they have struggled to find early momentum, as at least one team failed to score before halftime in 37 of their last 40 league fixtures. These numbers underline a cautious approach, with the team often relying on defensive solidity and set pieces to create chances.
Entella’s challenge will be to turn their home advantage into points. Their last head-to-head against Padova ended in a 2-1 defeat back in September 2025, and they have yet to beat the visitors in recent meetings. Still, the Chiavari crowd could play a crucial role in pushing the team toward a much-needed victory.
Calcio Padova come into this match with renewed confidence after a 1-0 win over Reggiana on April 19. That victory ended a difficult run of three consecutive defeats and gave them breathing space in the standings. Over their last five matches, Padova have collected 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their overall Serie B record shows 10 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
Despite their recent improvement, Padova’s away form remains inconsistent. They have lost at halftime in 6 of their last 10 away matches, often struggling to impose their rhythm early on. Offensively, the team has lacked sharpness, with few players contributing regularly to the scoresheet. However, their defensive organization has improved, as shown in their narrow win against Reggiana, where they managed to protect a slim lead until the final whistle.
Padova’s main goal is to reach the 43-point mark, which would likely guarantee safety. A positive result in Chiavari would not only extend their cushion over the relegation zone but also confirm their recent recovery. However, their head-to-head record against Entella is favorable, with two wins in their last two meetings, averaging 2 goals scored per match. Maintaining that trend could be decisive in this crucial fixture.
Everything points to a tight and low-scoring contest between two sides prioritizing defensive balance over attacking flair. Both teams have struggled to score regularly this season, and their recent matches suggest a cautious approach. Entella’s home games often see few goals before halftime, while Padova’s away fixtures tend to follow a similar pattern, with the visitors frequently trailing at the break.
Given the context, it is unlikely that this match will produce many goals. Entella’s need for points could push them to take some risks, but Padova’s compact structure and recent defensive improvement may neutralize their efforts. The battle in midfield and the ability to capitalize on set pieces could ultimately decide the outcome. With both sides aware of what is at stake, the match is expected to be more about determination and discipline than attacking spectacle.
Historically, Padova have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Entella’s home advantage and desperation for points could balance the scales. A draw or a narrow win for either side seems plausible, but the overall trend points toward a low-scoring affair.
Virtus Entella vs Calcio Padova prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Virtus Entella
Calcio Padova
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
10
0