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Prediction published on Dec 19, 2025 4:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Dec 19, 2025 4:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Virtus Entella and Südtirol promises to be a tense and crucial battle in the fight to avoid relegation. Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, level on points and desperate to turn their fortunes around. Scheduled for Sunday, December 21, this encounter at the Comunale could prove decisive for their survival hopes. With both sides finding wins hard to come by, the match is expected to be tight, tactical, and possibly low-scoring.
Virtus Entella enter this fixture in poor form, having suffered a 3-1 defeat to Carrarese on December 14. The Ligurian side have gone five league matches without a win, collecting only two draws and three losses in that span. Their attacking struggles are evident, averaging just 0.8 goals scored per game over the last five matches, while conceding 1.6 goals on average.
Across the season, Entella’s record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their defensive approach has often led to tight contests, as shown by the fact that Under 1.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 19 of their last 21 league games. Moreover, in 29 of their last 31 matches, at least one team failed to score before the break, underlining their cautious starts.
Another interesting trend is the high number of corners in their games: Over 10.5 corners have been taken in each of their last nine Serie B fixtures. Despite their current struggles, Entella will look to capitalize on home advantage to regain confidence and end their winless streak.
Südtirol are also enduring a difficult period, having drawn 0-0 against Bari 1908 in their most recent outing on December 13. The team from the north has failed to win any of their last five matches, recording four draws and one defeat. Their attack has been particularly blunt, averaging only 0.4 goals scored per game in that stretch, while maintaining a solid defense with just 0.6 goals conceded on average.
Over the season, Südtirol’s record reads 2 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their matches have been consistently low-scoring, with Under 3.5 goals in each of their last 11 Serie B games. Away from home, they have been particularly resilient, drawing in 8 of their last 9 away matches, and 7 of their last 8 overall. This pattern suggests a team that prioritizes defensive solidity over attacking risk.
Although Südtirol’s last victory dates back to late September, their ability to grind out draws has kept them just above the relegation zone. However, their lack of cutting edge in the final third remains a major concern heading into this crucial encounter.
This match is shaping up as a classic relegation six-pointer, where both teams will likely prioritize avoiding defeat over taking risks. Given their recent form and statistical trends, a cautious and defensive approach is expected from both sides. Entella’s home advantage might give them a slight psychological edge, but Südtirol’s consistency in drawing away games cannot be overlooked.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these two sides is balanced, with 2 wins each and 1 draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 1-2, suggesting that while goals can occur, both teams have evolved into more conservative units this season. With both attacks among the least productive in Serie B, the likelihood of a high-scoring affair appears minimal.
Considering the data, the most probable scenario is a low-tempo match dominated by defensive organization and few clear chances. Both teams will aim to avoid costly mistakes, which could make the difference in such a tight relegation battle.
Virtus Entella vs Südtirol prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards an Under 2.5 goals outcome, supported by a 63% probability. Both sides have struggled offensively, and their recent trends strongly suggest a low-scoring draw or narrow win.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Virtus Entella
Südtirol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2