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Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 3:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Virtus Entella and Venezia promises to be a decisive encounter for both sides as the season approaches its final stretch. Scheduled for Saturday at 15:00, this match at the Stadio Enrico Sannazari di Chiavari could shape the destiny of two teams with very different ambitions: survival for the hosts and direct promotion for the visitors. With only five rounds remaining, every point carries immense weight, and both clubs will be eager to make a statement in this thirty-fourth round of the campaign.
Virtus Entella enter this fixture after a narrow 1-0 defeat against Mantova, a result that pushed them back into the playout zone with 34 points. Despite the setback, their hopes of avoiding relegation remain alive, as the gap to safety is just three points. The team has shown resilience throughout the season, managing to stay competitive despite limited resources and a squad largely composed of domestic players.
In their last five matches, Virtus Entella have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their Serie B record stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their home performances have been characterized by late drama, as Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in each of their last 14 home games. This trend suggests that the team often finds its rhythm after the break, keeping fans on edge until the final whistle.
Although consistency has been an issue, Virtus Entella’s fighting spirit at home could make them a tough opponent for any visiting side. Their ability to stay compact and capitalize on counterattacks will be crucial if they are to challenge the league leaders.
Venezia continue to impress as one of the standout teams in Serie B, currently sitting at the top of the table. Their recent 3-1 victory over Juve Stabia showcased their attacking prowess and depth, with the squad creating numerous scoring opportunities. The team’s momentum remains strong, having gone unbeaten in 21 of their last 22 league matches.
In their last five outings, Venezia have achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals while conceding just 0.6. Over the season, their record of 21 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses underlines their consistency and dominance. They have scored in 26 of their last 28 matches, and Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in 25 of their last 27 Serie B fixtures. These numbers highlight a team that not only controls possession but also converts chances efficiently.
Even away from home, Venezia have remained competitive, avoiding defeat at half time in 30 of their last 33 matches and winning the first half in 6 of their last 10 away games. Their ability to start strong and maintain composure throughout the match makes them a formidable opponent. Although their away form has seen a few draws recently, their overall quality and depth give them a clear edge heading into this encounter.
Historically, Venezia have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, they have secured 4 wins and 1 draw, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Venezia, confirming their upper hand in this matchup.
Tactically, the game is expected to feature a contrast of styles. Virtus Entella will likely rely on defensive organization and quick transitions, aiming to exploit any space left by Venezia’s attacking approach. The visitors, on the other hand, are expected to control possession and press high, seeking to break down their opponents through sustained pressure and fluid movement in the final third.
Given the current form and statistical trends, goals could arrive in the second half, especially considering Virtus Entella’s tendency to open up after the interval and Venezia’s consistent scoring record. However, the hosts’ determination to secure vital points for survival could make this a tighter contest than the table suggests.
All indicators point toward a challenging afternoon for Virtus Entella. While their home resilience cannot be ignored, Venezia’s superior form, attacking efficiency, and defensive balance make them strong favorites. The visitors have shown remarkable consistency, rarely dropping points even in difficult away fixtures.
According to the available probabilities, the chances for each outcome are as follows:
With Over 2.5 goals occurring in 44% of simulations and Under 2.5 in 56%, a moderately low-scoring match could be expected, especially if Virtus Entella focus on containment. However, Venezia’s attacking rhythm and ability to score in nearly every game suggest that they could find the breakthrough needed to secure another crucial victory.
Virtus Entella vs Venezia prediction from BetMines: Venezia win (2) with 40% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Virtus Entella
Venezia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
10
0