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Prediction published on Jan 14, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Jan 14, 2026 9:04 PM
The upcoming clash between Vis Pesaro and Arezzo in Serie C: Girone B promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides with contrasting ambitions. The visitors are currently leading the table and have built a four-point cushion over their nearest rivals, while the hosts are battling to stay in the top six after a recent setback. The match, scheduled for Friday, January 16, could play a crucial role in shaping the promotion race, as Arezzo look to consolidate their lead and Vis Pesaro aim to bounce back from a disappointing home defeat.
Despite their recent 0-2 loss against Pineto on January 3, Vis Pesaro remain a competitive side in Serie C: Girone B. They currently sit sixth in the standings with a record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats. Their defensive organization has been a key strength, conceding only 0.8 goals per match on average this season. In their last five games, they have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per match.
At home, Vis Pesaro have been particularly solid. The numbers speak for themselves: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 18 home matches, and the same trend extends to their last 12 overall fixtures in the league. This consistency highlights their cautious approach and ability to keep games tight. However, their recent home defeat ended a long unbeaten run at the Benelli, reminding them that even small lapses can prove costly in such a balanced competition.
These figures suggest that Vis Pesaro’s matches tend to be low-scoring affairs, especially when they play in front of their supporters. Their defensive discipline could once again be their main weapon against the league leaders.
Arezzo are enjoying an excellent campaign, sitting at the top of the Serie C: Girone B table with 14 wins, 4 draws, and just 2 defeats. Their most recent outing was a narrow but important 1-0 victory over Pontedera on January 11, which helped them extend their lead over Ravenna. The team’s attacking efficiency has been impressive, averaging 1.9 goals scored per match while maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.8 goals conceded on average.
In their last five matches, Arezzo have collected 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, showing both consistency and resilience. They have found the net in 25 of their last 27 league matches, underlining their offensive reliability. However, one area of concern is their tendency to start slowly away from home — they have been trailing at half time in each of their last three away fixtures. This could be a factor to watch in Pesaro, especially against a side that rarely concedes early goals.
With a balanced mix of attacking flair and defensive stability, Arezzo have established themselves as the team to beat in the division. Their ability to grind out results, even in tight matches, has been a defining feature of their season so far.
The head-to-head record between these two sides is fairly balanced, with Vis Pesaro recording 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five meetings against Arezzo. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in September 2025, another low-scoring affair that fits the statistical pattern of both teams’ recent performances. The average goals in these fixtures stand at just 1.8 per match, reinforcing the expectation of a tight contest.
Given the defensive solidity of both sides and their preference for structured play, this match is likely to be decided by small details. Arezzo’s attacking momentum could give them a slight edge, but Vis Pesaro’s home resilience should not be underestimated. The hosts will be eager to redeem themselves after their last home defeat, while the visitors will aim to maintain their winning rhythm and extend their lead at the top.
With both teams showing strong defensive numbers and a tendency toward low-scoring matches, fans should expect a tactical battle rather than a goal fest. The first half, in particular, could be cagey, as Arezzo often take time to find their rhythm away from home, and Vis Pesaro focus on maintaining compactness.
According to the latest probabilities, Arezzo are the favorites with a 50% chance of winning, while Vis Pesaro have a 22% likelihood of success and the draw stands at 28%. The data also points toward a low-scoring match, with Under 2.5 goals having a 58% probability and Both Teams To Score – No slightly favored at 53%.
Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vis Pesaro
Arezzo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2