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Prediction published on Feb 6, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Feb 6, 2026 8:01 PM
The upcoming clash between Vis Pesaro and Forlì in the 25th round of Serie C Group B promises to be a tense and decisive encounter between two sides struggling to find consistency. Both teams are in urgent need of points to move away from the lower part of the table, and this fixture could represent a turning point in their respective seasons. The match will take place on Sunday, February 8, at 20:30, with the home side hoping to capitalize on their supporters’ energy at the Tonino Benelli Stadium. Given the short distance between the two cities, a good number of away fans are also expected to attend, adding further intensity to this regional battle.
Vis Pesaro approach this match with renewed confidence after their 1-2 away victory against Pianese on January 31, a result that ended a difficult run of form. In their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. These numbers reflect a team that often keeps games tight and low-scoring.
Indeed, low-scoring encounters have been a defining feature of Vis Pesaro’s campaign. Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 19 home matches and in their last 15 overall in Serie C Group B. Even more telling, three of their last eleven home fixtures have ended with Under 0.5 total goals. This defensive discipline, combined with a modest attacking output, suggests that the home side will once again rely on organization and patience to secure a positive result.
Forlì are enduring a difficult period, having failed to win any of their last five matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats). Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 loss to Gubbio on January 25, underlining their current struggles in both attack and defense. Over this stretch, they have averaged just 0.2 goals scored per game while conceding 2.0 on average. Over the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
These numbers highlight the main issue for the Romagnoli: a lack of offensive efficiency. The team has found it difficult to convert chances into goals, and this has cost them valuable points. Their defensive line has also been under pressure, often conceding early and struggling to recover. With only one point separating them from the relegation zone, Forlì urgently need to rediscover their rhythm and resilience if they want to avoid being dragged deeper into trouble.
The last meeting between these two sides ended with a 3-1 victory for Forlì on September 23, 2025. That result remains the only recent head-to-head encounter, with Vis Pesaro yet to record a win or draw against their rivals. On average, Vis Pesaro have scored 1.0 goal and conceded 3.0 in these matchups. This history gives Forlì a slight psychological edge, but current form suggests that the balance may shift this time around.
Given the statistical trends, this fixture is likely to be a cautious affair. Vis Pesaro’s home matches tend to produce few goals, while Forlì’s attacking struggles further reinforce the likelihood of a low-scoring contest. The home side’s recent improvement and defensive consistency could make the difference, especially if they manage to score early and control the tempo.
Both teams are aware of the stakes: a win for Vis Pesaro could consolidate their mid-table position and restore confidence, while Forlì desperately need points to avoid slipping into the relegation zone. Expect a physical and tactical battle, with few clear chances and a strong emphasis on defensive structure.
Considering the data and recent performances, the most plausible scenario points toward a tight match with limited scoring opportunities. Vis Pesaro have shown better form recently, while Forlì continue to struggle in front of goal. The combination of Over 0.5 goals for the home side and Under 1.5 goals for the visitors appears consistent with both teams’ current trends and could represent a balanced betting approach.
In terms of overall probabilities, the win chances are relatively even: Vis Pesaro 33%, Draw 29%, Forlì 38%. The BTTS market is finely balanced (Yes 49%, No 51%), while the Under 2.5 goals option (51%) slightly edges the Over (49%). These figures reinforce the expectation of a low-scoring, competitive match.
Vis Pesaro vs Forlì prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vis Pesaro
Forlì
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1