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Vis Pesaro
2 - 1
FT
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Prediction published on Nov 13, 2025 4:57 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Nov 13, 2025 4:57 PM
The clash between Vis Pesaro and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the weekend in Serie C – Girone B. Both sides have exceeded expectations so far, finding themselves in the upper half of the table despite modest pre-season predictions. The match will be played at the Tonino Benelli Stadium in Pesaro on Saturday, November 15, at 17:30, and it is expected to be a tactical battle between two of the most disciplined defenses in the league.
Vis Pesaro have quietly built one of the most solid defensive records in the division. The team currently sits in 10th place, occupying the last playoff spot, and has shown remarkable consistency in recent weeks. Their last outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Ternana on November 9, extending their unbeaten run to five matches (2 wins and 3 draws). During this stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded per game, underlining their defensive reliability.
Across the season, Vis Pesaro’s record stands at 3 wins, 8 draws, and just 2 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly steady, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 14 home fixtures. Moreover, they have not lost at half-time in 35 of their last 37 league matches, a testament to their ability to stay compact and organized during the early stages of games.
Vis Pesaro’s tactical approach under their current setup emphasizes defensive structure and patience in possession. They rarely overcommit players forward, preferring to build from the back and exploit spaces through quick transitions. This pragmatic style has paid off, especially against stronger opponents, allowing them to remain competitive in nearly every match. The challenge now will be to convert more of their draws into wins, particularly at home, where they have often dominated without finding the decisive goal.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC have been one of the surprise packages of the season, currently sitting in 4th place after a string of impressive results. Their latest victory, a 2-0 win over Pontedera on November 8, extended their unbeaten run to five matches (4 wins and 1 draw). Even more impressively, they have not conceded a single goal during this period, highlighting their defensive discipline and collective organization.
Over the course of the season, Guidonia’s record reads 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game. Their matches tend to be tight and low-scoring affairs: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 15 fixtures, and Under 1.5 goals at half-time in the last 16. The team’s ability to stay compact early on is further reflected by the fact that they have drawn at half-time in their last eight league matches, with Under 0.5 goals at half-time in all of them.
Guidonia’s success has been built on defensive solidity and efficient counterattacks. Their backline has been nearly impenetrable, while their forwards have made the most of limited chances. The Lazio-based side’s recent performances away from home have also been consistent, with Under 3.5 goals in each of their last ten away matches. This suggests that they are comfortable playing a cautious, reactive style, particularly against teams that like to control possession.
This encounter brings together two teams that have made defensive resilience their trademark. Both sides have been extremely difficult to break down, and their recent statistics point towards another low-scoring contest. Vis Pesaro’s home matches have consistently featured few goals, while Guidonia’s away fixtures have followed a similar pattern, often decided by narrow margins or ending in draws.
Given the context, the first half is likely to be a cautious affair, with both teams prioritizing defensive balance over attacking risk. Vis Pesaro’s record of rarely trailing at half-time and Guidonia’s streak of goalless first halves suggest that early goals will be hard to come by. The second half could open up slightly, but neither side is known for prolific scoring, making a low total goal count the most probable scenario.
In terms of league dynamics, a win for Vis Pesaro would allow them to close the gap on the playoff contenders above them, while Guidonia will be looking to maintain their top-four position and continue their unbeaten streak. With both teams in excellent form and boasting strong defensive records, this fixture has all the ingredients of a tactical chess match rather than an open, high-scoring battle.
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% probability. Both teams have shown remarkable defensive consistency, and recent trends strongly suggest a tight, low-scoring encounter at the Tonino Benelli Stadium.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vis Pesaro
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
5
5
7
3
2.5
6
4
8
2
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0