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Prediction published on Sep 14, 2026 10:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Sep 14, 2026 10:33 PM
Vis Pesaro host Reggiana in an Italian Serie C: Girone B fixture on September 16, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 at Stadio Tonino Benelli in Pesaro. The teams approach this contest in sharply contrasting circumstances. Vis Pesaro are 20th in the division after collecting only one point from their opening four league matches, while third-placed Reggiana remain unbeaten with two victories and two draws. The hosts therefore need a response after a difficult start, but they face opponents who have shown greater consistency and also possess a commanding recent head-to-head record. Reggiana have won each of the five recorded meetings in the supplied summary, making the visitors the stronger side on the available evidence.
Vis Pesaro enter the match after a 2-1 defeat against Forlì on September 12. That result continued a challenging sequence in which they have recorded no wins, one draw and four defeats across their last five matches. During that run, they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game, underlining the problems they have experienced at both ends of the pitch.
Their league record presents a similarly difficult picture. Vis Pesaro have started the Serie C campaign with zero wins, one draw and three losses. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored per match and 2.0 conceded, meaning that their opponents have produced twice as many goals per game on average. Those figures help explain why the home team currently occupy 20th place in Girone B.
Recovering from setbacks has been a recurring issue in their recent results. With four defeats in five games and an average of 2.6 goals conceded over that period, Vis Pesaro must become harder to break down if they are to challenge an unbeaten Reggiana side. Their average of fewer than one goal scored across the same sequence also indicates that defensive improvement alone may not be enough; greater effectiveness in front of goal will be necessary as well.
One noteworthy home trend concerns the opening period of matches. Each of Vis Pesaro's last 11 home games in Serie C: Girone B has produced under 1.5 first-half goals. This long sequence points towards controlled or low-scoring first halves at this venue, even though their broader defensive numbers have been less encouraging.
Reggiana arrive in Pesaro following a 1-1 draw against Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC on September 12. Their last five matches have yielded two wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Although that recent sequence has not been flawless, it is considerably more stable than Vis Pesaro's run of four defeats and one draw.
The visitors have been particularly dependable in league competition. Their opening Serie C record stands at two wins, two draws and no defeats, while they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. This balance between attacking production and defensive resistance has taken Reggiana to third place in Girone B and gives them a clear statistical advantage before this away fixture.
Reggiana's league scoring average is 0.8 goals per game higher than that of Vis Pesaro, while their average of one goal conceded is half the hosts' corresponding figure. The visitors have also taken points from every league match so far. Extending that unbeaten sequence will be their immediate objective after the draw in their latest outing.
The available win probabilities reinforce Reggiana's advantage without presenting the away result as a certainty. The visitors have a 47% chance of winning, compared with 28% for a draw and 25% for a Vis Pesaro victory. The gap reflects the difference in league position, current campaign results and recent form, while still acknowledging the unpredictability of a single match.
The historical matchup also favors Reggiana. In the supplied head-to-head summary, Vis Pesaro have recorded no wins and no draws across five meetings, losing all five. The hosts averaged only 0.4 goals scored and conceded 2.8 in those encounters. The most recent head-to-head ended in a 3-0 Reggiana victory on March 5, 2023.
Current and historical evidence therefore points in the same direction. Vis Pesaro are winless in four league games this season and have also failed to win any of their last five matches overall. Reggiana, by contrast, have not lost in the current league campaign and hold a perfect five-win record in the provided head-to-head sequence. Those factors make avoiding defeat the most strongly supported outcome for the away side.
The goals markets offer a more balanced picture. Both teams to score is divided evenly, with Yes and No each assigned a 50% probability. For total goals, under 2.5 is rated at 57%, compared with 43% for over 2.5. That slight preference for a lower total is consistent with Vis Pesaro's extended run of first halves featuring fewer than two goals, although their recent average of 2.6 goals conceded prevents the overall scoring outlook from being straightforward.
Vis Pesaro's need for points adds significance to the contest, but the hosts must reverse several negative indicators to secure their first league victory. Reggiana have the better season record, the stronger recent sequence and the superior head-to-head history. A draw remains a realistic possibility, especially after the visitors shared the points in their latest game, yet the available data makes Reggiana the more reliable side to support in the result market.
Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana prediction from BetMines: Draw or Reggiana (X2) with 75% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vis Pesaro
Reggiana
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0