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Prediction published on Mar 11, 2026 8:10 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 11, 2026 8:10 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between Vitesse and Almere City promises to be an entertaining encounter filled with attacking football and plenty of goalmouth action. Scheduled for March 13, this fixture brings together two sides with contrasting league positions but similar ambitions to finish the season strongly. Vitesse currently sit 17th in the standings, while Almere City occupy 7th place. Despite the gap, both teams have shown flashes of quality in recent weeks, suggesting that this could be a high-scoring affair.
Vitesse have endured a turbulent campaign, starting the season with a points deduction but gradually finding rhythm as the season progressed. They have collected 30 points from 30 matches, with a record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats. Their recent form has been encouraging, including a convincing 1-4 victory over De Graafschap on March 8. Over their last five fixtures, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Vitesse’s matches have been consistently entertaining, with Over 1.5 goals scored in 35 of their last 37 games. The trend continues in the Eerste Divisie, where 34 of their last 36 matches have also seen at least two goals. Their attacking intent is often evident early on, as Over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 33 of their last 36 league fixtures. At home, they tend to start strong, having led at half time in 7 of their last 11 home matches.
Despite their lowly position, Vitesse’s offensive numbers remain positive, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match and a slightly better goal difference (+1). Their winger Dillon Hoogewerf has been a standout performer, netting nine goals so far. The team’s ability to create chances and maintain attacking pressure could be crucial against an Almere City side that often leaves space at the back.
Almere City have been one of the most unpredictable teams in the Eerste Divisie this season. They currently sit in 7th place with a record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats. Their last five matches have produced two wins and three losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Most recently, they earned a hard-fought 1-0 victory over ADO Den Haag on March 7, a result that boosted their confidence after a series of inconsistent performances.
Almere City’s attacking strength is undeniable. They have scored in 20 of their last 21 matches and in 25 of their last 27 league games. Their matches are rarely dull, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. The second half often brings action, as Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in each of their last 18 away games. However, their defensive record remains a concern, as they concede an average of 1.7 goals per match.
Forward Julian Rijkhoff has been the team’s main attacking weapon, scoring 16 goals this season, 14 of which came in league play. His finishing ability and movement in the box make him a constant threat, especially against defenses that struggle to maintain concentration. Almere City’s attacking approach, combined with their tendency to concede, often leads to open, high-scoring games.
The recent meetings between these two sides have been competitive. Their last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on October 10, 2025, highlighting how evenly matched they can be. In their head-to-head history, Vitesse have yet to record a win, with two draws and one defeat, averaging one goal scored and 2.7 conceded per match. This record will surely motivate the home side to finally claim a victory in front of their supporters.
From a tactical perspective, both teams favor attacking football. Vitesse tend to press high and look for quick transitions, while Almere City rely on their pace and creativity in the final third. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns and defensive vulnerabilities, another match filled with goals seems likely. The statistics strongly support this view: both sides have been involved in numerous games with Over 2.5 goals, and both have scored in the majority of their recent fixtures.
Vitesse’s home advantage could play a role, especially considering their strong first-half performances. However, Almere City’s ability to find the net in almost every match makes them a dangerous opponent. The combination of attacking intent and defensive fragility on both sides suggests that spectators can expect an open and entertaining contest.
All indicators point toward a lively encounter with multiple goals. Both teams have shown a consistent pattern of high-scoring matches, and their recent form reinforces this expectation. Vitesse’s improvement in attack and Almere City’s offensive consistency make Over 2.5 goals the most logical prediction for this fixture.
Vitesse vs Almere City prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vitesse
Almere City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
7
3
7
3